General Mills (GIS)
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$35.85+5.19%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
GIS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-30
CEO — Dana M. McNabb: The CEO is retiring and being succeeded by an internal promotion (COO), representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The new CEO named profitable growth as her priority. Her first plans can show whether the current growth and supply chain focus continues.
Watch forAfter taking office, McNabb sets clear steps to grow profits, boost digital demand, or change the supply chain.
Also watch forMcNabb delays or changes the growth or supply chain plans. Or the company reports a leadership change before January 1.
Why it matters: The savings plan is meant to offset higher costs and fund growth. The company reported lower adjusted profit in Q1.
Watch forManagement confirms it is on track to deliver at least $750 million in fiscal 2027 savings.
Also watch forManagement lowers the $750 million savings goal or reports a clear shortfall against it.
Why it matters: The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook after Q1, despite flat organic sales and lower adjusted profit. The next report tests that outlook.
Watch forOn December 16, General Mills keeps its fiscal 2027 outlook and reports results in line with its stated plan.
Also watch forGeneral Mills cuts its fiscal 2027 outlook or reports results below its stated plan.
Why it matters: Organic sales were flat in Q1, while North America Retail fell 3%. A return to growth would mark progress on a top company goal.
Watch forIn the December 16, 2026 results, total organic net sales rise year over year. North America Retail is no longer down 3%.
Also watch forTotal organic net sales are flat or down again, or North America Retail falls further than 3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $304 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,427 loss on $10,000 · 34.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.