GoPro Inc (GPRO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.86-8.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GPRO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 23.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 113.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers
GPRO — legal / regulatory event — Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Rep…
Dated 2026-10-16
Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review. (a) While preparing the proxy statement related to the transactions contemplated by the Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated as of September 1, 2026, by and among the Company, Action Acquisitions LLC and Starman Optical, Inc., and finalizing the financial records for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026, the Company identified errors in the accounting for certain debt instrument…
Why it matters: The deal would bring in Starman's U.S.-made optical transceivers and repay about $92 million of GoPro debt. A delay or failed close would leave that plan unmet.
Supportive ifGoPro files a closing notice by December 31, 2026, and confirms the debt was repaid in full.
Worry ifThe merger does not close by December 31, 2026, or GoPro reports that the deal ended.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell 31% year over year, and camera sales fell 38%. Q3 results will show whether the MISSION 1 launch lifts demand.
Watch forQ3 revenue is at least $105 million, and camera sell-through is at least 291,000 units.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $105 million, and camera sell-through is below 291,000 units.
Why it matters: Subscription revenue grew 11% in Q2 and reached 28% of total revenue. Continued growth would show the service business can offset weak camera sales.
Supportive ifQ3 subscription and service revenue is above $29 million and grows year over year.
Worry ifQ3 subscription and service revenue is $29 million or less, or falls year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$305 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $908 loss on $10,000 · 9.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,941 loss on $10,000 · 69.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.