Garrett Motion, Inc. (GTX)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$27.97+2.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTX
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $28 GTX trades at 15× p/e, in line with its 14× p/e peer median, and our $29 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $36–$42. Note: our $29 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($36–$42). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $36.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $20.99 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $32.38 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $3.07 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$36.00 – $42.00 (median $36.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-07-30
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $27.97 |
| 14.6 |
| 1.92 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $24.97 | 13.5 | 1.84 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $12.58 | 0.6 | 19.70 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $49.75 | 27.0 | 1.84 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $33.73 | 18.3 | 1.84 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $26.97 | 13.5 | 1.99 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $26.80 | 14.6 | 1.83 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $30.40 | 13.5 | 2.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $13.43 | 0.6 | 21.02 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $60.58 | 27.0 | 2.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $41.06 | 18.3 | 2.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $26.04 | 14.6 | 1.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $30.33 | 13.5 | 2.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $13.40 | 0.6 | 20.97 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $60.45 | 27.0 | 2.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $40.98 | 18.3 | 2.24 | Analyst | medium |