Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
GAXOS.AI INC (GXAI)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.37-18.12%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for GXAI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Manage capital through debt issuance | The company works to manage debt well. | Intact | debt issuance worsens financial health or limits growth | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 12, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
GXAI is a high-risk, loss-making growth business rather than an established compounder. Its thesis is on watch, and the signal recently shifted from mixed to cautious.
The valuation evidence describes GXAI as cheap versus peers, with medium confidence in that comparison. The snapshot gives little detail on what investors expect, and ongoing losses make the low relative valuation hard to interpret as a clear sign of value.
Near term, revenue has grown substantially and operating losses narrowed from the first quarter to the second quarter of 2026. Management says it is prioritizing repeat revenue, revenue-generating AI lines, and spending discipline, though evidence of cost control is mixed. The next results carry meaningful execution risk, and the October delisting notice adds a serious concern.
The multi-year thesis depends on whether revenue growth becomes more recurring and whether operating losses continue to narrow. A guidance cut at the next call would weaken the case; lower interest rates or strong results from sector peers could support the sector backdrop, but would not resolve GXAI’s company-specific risks.
Over the next one to three years, GXAI’s growth plans show early progress, but persistent losses, weak recent performance, high risk, and the delisting notice leave the thesis fragile. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| It aims to improve operating income from losses. |
| Improving |
| operating losses worsen beyond -$2.5 million next year |
Operating income: $-1.865M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: reduce losses from -$2.5 million in Q1 2026. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 12, 2026-1,864,755 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth through strategic acquisitions | A primary condition in GAXOS.AI INC's published investment case. The stated target is >= $9.6 million revenue in FY27. | Improving | revenue falls below $7 million in FY27 | Revenue: $2.457M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $9.6 million revenue in FY27. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 20262,457,357 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.62 → $-0.31 · observed estimates
$0.01B → $0.01B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.62 | $9,590,250 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.62 | $10,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.31 | $14,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.