Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co. (HBB)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$31.00-2.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HBB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -59.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 58.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HBB — General Counsel transition
Dated 2026-06-18
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary — Andrew C. Carington: Andrew C. Carington departed the company immediately.
Why it matters: New leaders can change priorities and impact how well the company does.
Worry ifA new General Counsel was announced. They have the right experience and a clear plan.
Less concerning ifIf no new General Counsel is named in three months, it may cause legal uncertainty.
Why it matters: The departure of a key executive can shift company focus and strategy. This could affect performance.
Watch forNew leadership announces a strategic plan that aligns with growth goals.
Also watch forThere is no clear strategy. This causes uncertainty in how to carry out plans.
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it may show a recovery in consumer spending.
Supportive ifThe earnings report on July 29 shows revenue growth above 0%.
Worry ifThe earnings report shows revenue growth below 0%.
Why it matters: Management aims for mid-single digit revenue growth in 2026. This shows their confidence in demand recovery.
Supportive ifManagement confirms revenue growth guidance of 5% or more during the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement revises revenue growth guidance down to below 5% in the next earnings call.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $413 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,231 loss on $10,000 · 22.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This confirms if the company can manage costs while investing in growth. A decline within guidance shows effective cost control.
Worry ifOperating profit declines in the range of 10% to 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifOperating profit declines more than 13% year over year.
Why it matters: This growth is key for Hamilton Beach to show recovery from past declines. It confirms management's outlook for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth of at least 4% year over year, indicating recovery.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth below 0%, showing continued decline.
Why it matters: Keeping margins high is important for making money as tariff benefits go away. It shows strength in operations.
Supportive ifGross margin is over 26% in Q3. This shows the company is operating efficiently.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 26%. This suggests there may be cost problems.
Why it matters: Reaching this target shows the company is financially healthy. It helps support future growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations reaches at least $35 million in 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is under $30 million. This shows the company may be in trouble.