Home Bancorp, Inc. (HBCP)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$70.36+0.64%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HBCP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $70 HBCP trades at 1.2× p/b, below its 1.2× p/b peer median, but our blended $72 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcff | 12M | $139.17 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $19.87 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $88.14 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $71.62 | 1.2 | 57.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $76.50 |
| 11.7 |
| 6.56 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $67.62 | 10.9 | 6.21 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $78.43 | 3.2 | 24.82 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $48.94 | 8.2 | 5.98 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $61.70 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $67.52 | 11.3 | 5.98 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $75.59 | 11.9 | 6.33 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $93.83 | 1.2 | 75.65 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $83.76 | 11.7 | 7.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $55.99 | 10.9 | 5.14 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $54.98 | 3.2 | 17.40 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $42.06 | 8.2 | 5.14 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $58.04 | 11.3 | 5.14 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $112.34 | 1.2 | 90.58 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $88.97 | 11.7 | 7.63 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $44.19 | 10.9 | 4.06 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $43.39 | 3.2 | 13.73 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $33.19 | 8.2 | 4.06 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $45.80 | 11.3 | 4.06 | Analyst | high |