Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG)
NASDAQIndustrialsMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.82+0.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCSG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
HCSG — credit agreement
Dated 2026-04-13
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Second Amendment, dated April 7, 2026 (the “Second Amendment”), to its existing Credit Agreement, dated December 21, 2018, as amended on November 22, 2022 (the “Credit Agreement”), by and among the Company, its wholly-owned subsidiaries (other than HCSG Insurance Corp.), the several banks and other financial institutions or entities that are from time to time parties thereto, and PNC Bank…
Why it matters: Aggressive share buybacks show trust in the company's value. They also show confidence in the future.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases reach $30 million by the end of 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases total less than $30 million by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: More buybacks show confidence in the company's value and growth. It shows management cares about returning money to shareholders.
Supportive ifShare repurchases were more than $30 million in Q3.
Worry ifShare repurchases were less than $30 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Higher SG&A may show inefficiencies. This could hurt profit margins and growth outlook.
Worry ifSG&A was 10.5% or lower of revenue. This shows good cost management.
Less concerning ifSG&A was above 10.5% of revenue. This indicates possible cost control problems.
Why it matters: Updates may show management's trust in cash flow and financial strength.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of more share buybacks or speeding up the current program.
Worry ifNo updates or a pause in the share repurchase program.
Why it matters: Higher SG&A could indicate inefficiencies and hurt profit margins. It will show if management is sticking to cost targets.
Worry ifSG&A expenses reported above 10.5% of revenue.
Less concerning ifSG&A expenses reported at or below 10.5% of revenue.
Why it matters: A drop in cash flow could signal liquidity issues. It would challenge the company's ability to fund operations and growth.
Worry ifCash flow from operations was less than $20 million.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations reported at or above $20 million.
Why it matters: The sector is in a maturing phase. Any improvement could help HCSG's growth.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up to over 6% after June.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 3% after June.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps with liquidity. It also supports spending for growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $25 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $25 million in Q3.
Why it matters: This will test if the company can maintain its growth outlook. A decline would raise concerns about future performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 3% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth reported above 3% year over year.
Why it matters: New clients are crucial for driving revenue growth and maintaining high retention rates.
Supportive ifNew client wins are announced. They add a lot to revenue.
Worry ifNo new client wins announced in Q2.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows good cost management. This is key for making more money overall.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 exceeds $40M.
Worry ifOperating income in Q2 falls below $30M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and Fed net liquidity.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $348 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,988 loss on $10,000 · 19.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.