Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG)
NASDAQIndustrialsMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$25.11-5.39%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCSG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and Fed net liquidity.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HCSG — credit agreement
Dated 2026-04-13
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Second Amendment, dated April 7, 2026 (the “Second Amendment”), to its existing Credit Agreement, dated December 21, 2018, as amended on November 22, 2022 (the “Credit Agreement”), by and among the Company, its wholly-owned subsidiaries (other than HCSG Insurance Corp.), the several banks and other financial institutions or entities that are from time to time parties thereto, and PNC Bank…
Why it matters: Cost of services was 83.2% in Q3, below the company's goal near 86%. A sharp rise could weaken margins.
Worry ifCost of services is above 86% of revenue in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifCost of services stays at or below 86% of revenue.
Why it matters: HCSG had repurchased $56.6 million by Q3, leaving $18.4 million of its plan. Completion would meet its stated capital return goal.
Supportive ifHCSG reports total repurchases of at least $75 million by January 2027.
Worry ifHCSG reports less than $75 million in total repurchases by January 2027.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2027 growth outlook from mid single digits to low double digits. Results will test that higher outlook.
Supportive ifHCSG reports 2027 revenue growth in the low double digits.
Worry ifHCSG reports 2027 revenue growth below the low double digits or cuts its outlook.
Why it matters: Management tied organic growth to a Q4 revenue range of $535 million to $545 million. A result in that range would support the growth plan.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue is at least $535 million, within the range management gave.
Worry ifQ4 revenue is below $535 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $328 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,988 loss on $10,000 · 19.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: HCSG paid $93.5 million in cash for NEXDINE. Its revenue contribution will test the value of the expansion.
Supportive ifA company report shows NEXDINE adding over $150 million in yearly revenue, with margins like HCSG's.
Worry ifA company report shows annual revenue below $150 million or margins below HCSG's.