Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.35+1.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HDSN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HDSN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.
Why it matters: M&A activity could drive growth and improve market position. It is a key focus for management.
Supportive ifA new acquisition or partnership was announced. It is successful.
Worry ifNo new M&A announcements or failed negotiations.
Why it matters: Share buybacks show that management believes in the company's value. This can help keep share prices steady.
Supportive ifThey announced more share buybacks that are over $2.5 million.
Worry ifNo further share repurchases announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The contract with the Defense Logistics Agency brings steady income. Losing or renewing it will greatly impact Hudson's business.
Watch forDLA confirms the contract renewal beyond November 2026.
Also watch forDLA does not renew the contract or issues a significant reduction in scope.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into Hudson's performance and future guidance. This can affect investor sentiment.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth. It also shows better profit margins than before.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows falling revenue and profit margins. This raises worries about future results.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$164 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $407 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,364 loss on $10,000 · 53.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost management and product mix. This can mean better performance and profits.
Supportive ifGross margin reported above 20% for Q2.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 20% for Q2.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth could mean the materials sector is recovering. This might help Hudson's outlook.
Supportive ifMaterials sector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent.
Worry ifMaterials sector revenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below 8% would signal a slowdown in sales momentum. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth meets or exceeds 8% year over year.
Why it matters: Guidance below low-to-mid 20% may mean less profit and more problems.
Worry ifGross margin guidance for 2026 falls below low-to-mid 20%.
Less concerning ifGross margin guidance for 2026 remains at low-to-mid 20% or higher.
Why it matters: News about the Icorium partnership may show how well the company is doing.
Supportive ifA press release will share news about progress in the Icorium partnership.
Worry ifNo news or delays have come out about the Icorium partnership.
Why it matters: Updates on the DLA contract will show if the company keeps important contracts.
Supportive ifGood news or results about the DLA contract will be shared.
Worry ifNegative reports or issues arising from the DLA contract.