Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.09-7.26%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HDSN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HDSN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 28, 2026, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue fell as prices and volume both dropped. Firmer prices with steady volume would ease that pressure.
Watch forIn a reported quarter, HFC selling prices rise year over year. Sales volume stays flat or rises year over year.
Also watch forIn a reported quarter, HFC selling prices fall year over year and sales volume also falls year over year.
Why it matters: The contract was re-awarded, but the release gives no sales tied to it. Reported contract sales would show delivery.
Supportive ifHudson reports revenue or deliveries under the DLA contract. A later company update says the contract was awarded again.
Worry ifA later company filing reports a DLA contract delay, loss, or end. Or it reports no deliveries by the next annual update.
Why it matters: Hudson's nine-month volume rose 9%, but Q3 volume fell 9%. The sector input also flags shrinking revenue.
Watch forHudson reports year-over-year sales volume growth in the next two quarters. Sector revenue growth turns positive.
Also watch forHudson reports year-over-year sales volume declines in the next two quarters. Sector revenue growth stays negative.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$149 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $424 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,261 loss on $10,000 · 52.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.