Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$27.71-0.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HIMS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 40.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HIMS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Better cash flow from operations is key for funding growth and keeping financial health.
Supportive ifNet cash from operating activities rose from $89.4 million in Q1 2026.
Worry ifNet cash from operations dropped again. This shows ongoing cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Monitoring net loss helps gauge financial health. A smaller loss signals better management of expenses.
Supportive ifNet loss does not exceed $86 million.
Worry ifNet loss exceeds $86 million.
Why it matters: Subscriber growth is key for revenue. A strong increase shows market demand and engagement.
Supportive ifSubscriber count is over 2.6 million.
Worry ifSubscriber count is under 2.6 million.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow shows better efficiency and financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is stable at about $89 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations declines below $89 million in Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$329 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $827 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,686 loss on $10,000 · 76.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the company is on track with its growth priority. It can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth meets or exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: The Eucalyptus acquisition could help Hims & Hers reach more customers. We will see if it works.
Supportive ifSubscriber count increases by more than 10% in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifSubscriber count grows less than 5% in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows good operations and helps financial health.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is $35 million or more.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, Adjusted EBITDA is under $35 million.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for making money in the long run. It shows the company is controlling costs.
Supportive ifOperating income improves by at least 10% in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifOperating income falls or stays the same in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Higher cash from operations shows improved cash flow. This can enhance financial stability.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $100M in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $80M in Q2.
Why it matters: More subscribers mean higher market demand. This leads to better customer engagement.
Supportive ifSubscriber growth is over 9% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
Worry ifSubscriber growth drops below 9% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: News about the buyback program shows confidence in the company's value and future.
Supportive ifManagement will share details about the share buyback program, like timing and amount.
Worry ifNo new news about the buyback program after the first announcement.
Why it matters: Good integration will boost Hims & Hers' market presence. It will also help long-term growth.
Supportive ifLook for good news on Eucalyptus joining. This includes new products and market growth.
Worry ifNews about problems or delays in joining can hurt how well operations work together.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding the revenue guidance shows strong growth momentum. This is vital for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported between $880 million and $900 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $880 million.
Why it matters: Eucalyptus is doing well in new markets. This means stable international revenue.
Supportive ifInternational revenue grew over 1,000% from last year.
Worry ifInternational revenue growth falls below 500% from last year.