Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.06-9.75%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HIMS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 47.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 61.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
HIMS — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-10-07
Principal Accounting Officer — Jonathan M. Franklin: The filing announces the external hire of a new Chief Accounting Officer and Principal Accounting Officer to replace a resigning officer, which is a standard executive succession event rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin fell from 76% a year earlier. A recovery would ease concern about the cost of fast growth.
Watch forA later quarterly result reports gross margin above 64%.
Also watch forA later quarterly result reports gross margin below 64%.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EBITDA fell to $60.3 million from $82.2 million a year earlier. A miss would add to pressure on profits.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $75 million, the low end of management's range.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $75 million and within the $75 million to $95 million range.
Why it matters: Management links AI and tech spending to lower costs, but has not shared a direct savings figure. The report may show whether margins improve.
Watch forThe November 9 report links lower costs from AI or tech work to a higher adjusted EBITDA margin.
Also watch forThe November 9 report shows adjusted EBITDA margin below Q3 guidance of 9% to 11%. It states no cost savings from AI or tech.
Why it matters: Q2 free cash flow was negative $68.2 million, and the company names integration and cash needs as risks. More cash use could limit flexibility.
Worry ifA later quarterly result shows free cash flow below negative $68.2 million.
Less concerning ifA later quarterly result shows free cash flow above negative $68.2 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$308 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $806 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,680 loss on $10,000 · 66.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management set this range after raising its full-year revenue outlook. Meeting it would support the growth story.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least $880 million, the low end of management's $880 million to $900 million range.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $880 million.