Home BancShares (HOMB)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$30.15+0.50%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HOMB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $30 HOMB trades at 1.3× p/b, in line with its 1.2× p/b peer median, and our $29 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $30–$36. Note: our $29 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($30–$36). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $31.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $12.69 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $31.48 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $35.28 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$30.00 – $36.00 (median $31.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-19
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $28.00 |
| 1.2 |
| 22.58 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $24.90 | 11.7 | 2.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $28.00 | 10.9 | 2.57 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $20.32 | 3.2 | 6.43 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $21.04 | 8.6 | 2.45 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $24.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $29.47 | 12.0 | 2.45 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $29.70 | 11.9 | 2.49 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $34.85 | 1.2 | 28.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $23.02 | 11.7 | 1.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $27.20 | 10.9 | 2.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $17.25 | 3.2 | 5.46 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $21.45 | 8.6 | 2.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $30.03 | 12.0 | 2.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $40.32 | 1.2 | 32.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $21.85 | 11.7 | 1.87 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $24.38 | 10.9 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $15.46 | 3.2 | 4.89 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $19.23 | 8.6 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $26.92 | 12.0 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |