Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$52.00-4.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HPE
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $52 HPE trades at 17× p/e, below its 40× p/e peer median. Our $76 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $33–$86. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $67.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $196.98 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $140.79 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $8.35 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$33.00 – $86.00 (median $67.00) · 30 analysts · as of 2026-09-03
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 79% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 3.4 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.66/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $35.65 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $98.50 | 39.9 | 2.47 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $52.00 | 19.5 | 3.23 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $58.16 | 21.1 | 2.75 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $101.54 | 39.9 | 2.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $152.01 | 5.3 | 28.90 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $25.82 | 10.1 | 2.55 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $23.53 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $125.74 | 39.9 | 3.15 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $261.45 | 39.9 | 6.56 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $88.46 | 21.1 | 4.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $214.79 | 39.9 | 5.39 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $233.14 | 5.3 | 44.32 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $54.63 | 10.1 | 5.39 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $501.21 | 39.9 | 12.57 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $116.98 | 21.1 | 5.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $259.89 | 39.9 | 6.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $282.10 | 5.3 | 53.63 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $66.10 | 10.1 | 6.52 | Analyst | medium |