NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $43.44. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $43 HPE trades at 20× p/e, below its 43× p/e peer median. Our $48 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with low confidence: it trades at 1.8× its own p/e history and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $30–$80. Not investment advice.
$30.00 – $80.00 (median $67.00) · 19 analysts · as of 2026-06-03
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 62% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 3.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.43/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $67.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $94.29 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $103.77 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $8.50 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $29.33 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $39.13 | 21.4 | 2.35 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $52.76 | 21.6 | 2.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $92.91 | 43.0 | 2.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $130.84 | 4.8 | 27.09 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $17.75 | 8.2 | 2.16 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $19.84 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $24.30 | 11.3 | 2.16 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $95.03 | 43.0 | 2.21 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $80.24 | 21.6 | 3.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $141.31 | 43.0 | 3.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $198.84 | 4.8 | 41.17 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $27.00 | 8.2 | 3.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $36.96 | 11.3 | 3.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $106.11 | 21.6 | 4.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $186.88 | 43.0 | 4.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $240.59 | 4.8 | 49.82 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $35.70 | 8.2 | 4.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $48.88 | 11.3 | 4.34 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
