Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
$50.09-5.67%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HPE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
HPE — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-04
shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. On November 4, 2026, the Board of Directors of Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ("HPE" or the "Company") approved declaring a cash dividend of $0.953125 per share of its 7.625% Series C Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, payable on December 1, 2026, to holders of record as of the clos…
Why it matters: This is HPE's first AMD Helios AI rack order. Deployment would show the new system is moving beyond its first sale.
Supportive ifHPE or Vultr confirms shipment or deployment of the ordered systems.
Worry ifHPE or Vultr reports a delay, cancellation, or reduction of the $1.2 billion order.
Why it matters: HPE said it plans to return at least 75% of Q4 free cash flow. The reported payout will test that plan.
Supportive ifHPE reports Q4 shareholder returns equal to at least 75% of Q4 free cash flow.
Worry ifHPE reports Q4 shareholder returns below 75% of Q4 free cash flow.
Why it matters: HPE raised its FY27 Networking growth outlook to high teens or low 20s. A miss would weaken this growth case.
Worry ifAt the Dec. 3 earnings update, HPE guides to FY27 Networking growth below the high-teens range.
Less concerning ifHPE keeps its FY27 Networking growth outlook at high teens or higher.
Why it matters: HPE raised its annual savings goal from at least $600 million to $800 million. The higher target depends on Juniper integration.
Supportive ifHPE reports an annual run-rate of at least $800 million in Juniper-related savings by FY28 end.
Worry ifHPE cuts the $800 million goal or reports a run-rate below $600 million by FY28 end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$271 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $619 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,181 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.