Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$52.00-4.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HPE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 23.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HPE — government funding
Dated 2026-09-02
Regulation FD Disclosure. The information contained in this Item 7.01, shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing . HPE is also announcing a quarterly dividend of $0.1425 common per share, the fourth in Hewlett Packard Enterprise's fiscal year 2026, payable on or about October 16, 2026, to stockholde…
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong cash generation and financial health for HPE.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported at $3.5 billion or higher.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $3.5 billion.
Why it matters: This EPS range shows better profits and management's trust in future earnings.
Supportive ifGAAP diluted net EPS reported between $2.42 and $2.52.
Worry ifGAAP diluted net EPS reported below $2.42.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue target shows strong demand. It also shows good business performance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $11.5 billion or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $11.5 billion.
Why it matters: This guidance will show if HPE can maintain its strong growth momentum into Q4.
Supportive ifHPE provides Q4 revenue guidance within the range of $13.9 billion to $14.8 billion.
Worry ifHPE lowers Q4 revenue guidance below $13.9 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$256 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $495 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,657 loss on $10,000 · 26.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting this target shows that HPE makes strong cash and uses it well.
Supportive ifHPE reports free cash flow of at least $3.75 billion for FY26.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls below $3.5 billion for FY26.
Why it matters: This range shows HPE can make more money and reach growth goals.
Supportive ifHPE reports GAAP diluted net EPS within the range of $2.93 to $3.03.
Worry ifGAAP diluted net EPS falls below $2.93.
Why it matters: Strong growth in this segment signals HPE's competitive position in networking and AI.
Supportive ifNetworking segment revenue growth exceeds 73% for FY26.
Worry ifNetworking segment revenue growth falls below 73% for FY26.