Huntsman Corp (HUN)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.79-1.61%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HUN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -58.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HUN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 2, 2026, we issued a press release announcing our results for the three months ended September 30, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. We will hold a conference call to discuss our third quarter 2026 financial results on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. ET. Webcast link: https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=oRyBrBjV Participant dial-in numbers: Domestic callers: (877) 402-803…
Why it matters: Management said Q2 price actions offset higher raw material costs. Further price gains would help protect profit.
Watch forQ3 results show price gains covered higher raw material costs. Segment adjusted EBITDA stays at or above Q2 levels.
Also watch forManagement says raw material costs rose more than prices. Segment adjusted EBITDA falls below Q2 levels.
Why it matters: The merger plan names more than $300 million in cost savings, with most due within 24 months after closing. Results will test this key deal claim.
Supportive ifAfter closing, OlinHuntsman reports savings from buying, plant changes, and lower office costs. These track toward more than $300 million within three years.
Worry ifAfter closing, reports show delays, extra costs to join the companies, or savings below the plan.
Why it matters: Huntsman used $90 million of cash in Q2 and $181 million in the first half. A positive quarter would mark a clear change.
Supportive ifQuarterly free cash flow from ongoing operations is above zero.
Worry ifQuarterly free cash flow stays below zero, as it did in both Q1 and Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Both groups of shareholders approved the merger. The deal still needs regulatory approval and other steps before closing.
Watch forThe companies report all needed approvals and close the merger by June 30, 2027.
Also watch forA regulator blocks the deal, the merger agreement ends, or the companies say the deal will not close in the first half of 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$189 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $514 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,921 loss on $10,000 · 49.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.