Hut 8 Corp. (HUT)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$93.55+6.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HUT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 52.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HUT — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial
Dated 2026-06-10
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Court results might change financial stability. They could also affect future spending choices.
Worry ifA good ruling in court would help Hut 8's financial position.
Less concerning ifA bad ruling could raise costs or hurt how money is spent.
Why it matters: New leases would show demand for Hut 8's data centers and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifHut 8 signs more leases for AI data center capacity over 300 MW.
Worry ifNo new leases are signed for AI data center capacity in the next six months.
Why it matters: More buybacks could show strong money management and trust in the stock.
Supportive ifHut 8 announces a new share buyback program or increases the existing one.
Worry ifNo new buyback announcements are made in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to showing that execution is improving. A rise would signal better performance.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue is over $71 million. This shows a recovery from Q1's drop.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is still under $71 million. This shows ongoing problems in execution.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$393 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,023 loss on $10,000 · 10.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,169 loss on $10,000 · 41.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Progress at Beacon Point is crucial for Hut 8's expansion and revenue potential.
Supportive ifConstruction milestones for Beacon Point Phase 2 are met on schedule.
Worry ifConstruction milestones for Beacon Point Phase 2 are missed or delayed.
Why it matters: The buyback program may show management believes in the company's value and helps stock prices.
Supportive ifManagement says they are buying back shares. This leads to a rise in stock price.
Worry ifThe stock price falls even after the buyback news. This shows market doubt.
Why it matters: Energizing Beacon Point is important for making money. It shows Hut 8's model works.
Supportive ifThe first energization at Beacon Point is set for Q1 2027.
Worry ifEnergization is delayed beyond Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows Hut 8's business model is working.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue from AI data center work is over $75 million.
Worry ifQuarterly revenue from AI data center work drops below $70 million.
Why it matters: Finishing River Bend on time is key for Hut 8's growth plans. It will add significant IT capacity.
Supportive ifThe first data hall delivery at River Bend will happen in Q2 2027.
Worry ifConstruction delays will move the first data hall delivery past Q2 2027.
Why it matters: Updates on the buyback program show that management believes in the stock.
Supportive ifManagement says they are buying back shares as part of the program.
Worry ifNo updates or repurchases are reported. This may show a lack of confidence.
Why it matters: Progress in construction shows Hut 8 is growing. Delays may mean problems.
Supportive ifManagement says River Bend construction is on track for Q2 2027.
Worry ifConstruction delays are reported. Timelines are pushed back past Q2 2027.
Why it matters: Cutting losses on digital assets will improve finances. It will also increase investor trust.
Supportive ifNet losses on digital assets drop a lot in the next reporting period.
Worry ifNet losses on digital assets increase or remain high.
Why it matters: Refinancing could lower costs and improve Hut 8's financial health.
Supportive ifHut 8 says it will refinance. This will lower its interest costs.
Worry ifHut 8 faces increased costs or fails to refinance existing debt.
Why it matters: If sector growth slows, Hut 8 may face tougher conditions. This could impact its performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median of 15%.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is above the median. This shows that expansion is still happening.
Why it matters: Successful financing will support Hut 8's growth and reduce capital costs.
Supportive ifHut 8 shares news of $7.5 billion financing for construction.
Worry ifProblems with financing slow down construction projects.
Why it matters: Updates may improve financial stability and help with growth plans.
Watch forHut 8 announces a new financing structure for Beacon Point Phase 2.
Also watch forNo updates on the capital allocation plan are made.
Why it matters: A successful buyback shows confidence in the company's value. This could make investors feel better.
Supportive ifThe company announced the share buyback program with clear details.
Worry ifNo news or delays about the buyback execution.