HYPERION DEFI INC (HYPD)
NASDAQHealth CareAsset Management - CryptocurrencySnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.07+0.66%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareAsset Management - CryptocurrencySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HYPD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 362.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers
HYPD — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-10-02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 28, 2026 (the “Payoff Date”), Hyperion DeFi, Inc., formerly known as Eyenovia, Inc. (the “Company”) voluntarily repaid in full all outstanding obligations under the Loan and Security Agreement, dated November 22, 2022 with Avenue Capital Management II, L.P., as administrative and collateral agent, Avenue Venture Opportunities Fund, L.P. as a lender and Avenue Venture Opportunities Fund II, L.P. as a lender, (as amended and supplemen…
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted gross profit rose 20% to $1.15 million. Another rise would support the 2026 goal of $5 million to $7 million.
Supportive ifThe November 12 report shows Q3 adjusted gross profit above $1.15 million. Full-year guidance stays at $5 million to $7 million.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted gross profit is at or below $1.15 million, or full-year guidance falls below $5 million.
Why it matters: The company used $2.1 million in operating cash in Q2. Management aims to turn this measure positive by the end of 2026.
Supportive ifA reported quarter shows adjusted net operating cash flow above zero by the end of 2026.
Worry ifThe final 2026 report shows adjusted net operating cash flow still below zero.
Why it matters: The Entropy deal puts HYPE to work in a new market. Reported fees would show whether this deal adds income.
Supportive ifThe next report names Entropy income or fees from its HAUS deal and states the amount.
Worry ifThe next report says the Entropy deal has not launched, earns no fees, or has ended.
Why it matters: The debt payoff was partly funded by HYPE sales. More sales could reduce the token base that earns staking income.
Worry ifA filing reports HYPE sales that cut holdings below 1.85 million tokens. The 1.85 million figure was reported on September 30.
Less concerning ifA filing reports HYPE holdings of at least 1.85 million. No sales fund operations or buybacks.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$324 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,025 loss on $10,000 · 10.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,366 loss on $10,000 · 63.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.