InterDigital (IDCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$308.50-1.63%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IDCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 73.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 85.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 35 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: InterDigital won eight injunctions in eight Disney patent cases. A court change could weaken this legal result.
Watch forThe two new injunctions remain in force, with no court order lifting them.
Also watch forA court lifts or blocks either of the two new injunctions.
Why it matters: Q3 raised the midpoint using revenue already under contract. A result above $813 million would show that added deals lifted the year further.
Supportive ifFY26 revenue is reported above $813 million, the midpoint of the current $813 million to $819 million range.
Worry ifFY26 revenue is reported below $813 million.
Why it matters: The Amazon deal covers services and devices, including Prime Video. Final terms would show the value of this new market.
Supportive ifThe arbitration sets final terms for Amazon's license. It covers services and devices.
Worry ifFinal terms are not set, or the Amazon license does not take effect.
Why it matters: The deal brings InterDigital to four of the top five PC makers. Binding terms would show what the new license adds.
Supportive ifThe arbitration sets final license terms for the leading PC maker.
Worry ifThe arbitration does not set final terms, or the deal ends without a license.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $426 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,473 loss on $10,000 · 34.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Streaming and cloud revenue fell from $110 million in Q2 to $15 million in Q3. A rise would show the new service deals are adding revenue beyond that quarter.
Supportive ifQ4 Streaming and Cloud Services revenue is above $15 million.
Worry ifQ4 Streaming and Cloud Services revenue is $15 million or less.
Why it matters: ARR reached a record in Q3, while smartphone revenue fell 10% year over year. More ARR growth would show recurring licenses are still expanding.
Supportive ifReported ARR rises above $628.9 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifReported ARR is $628.9 million or lower in the next quarter.