Intellicheck Inc (IDN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.01-3.83%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IDN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
IDN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 13, 2026, Intellicheck, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing its results of operations for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Report, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the…
Why it matters: Revenue grew 16% in Q2. Growth above 10% would show that other customers can offset the planned vendor shift.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue rises at least 10% from the year-ago quarter.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 10% year over year or revenue declines.
Why it matters: The company says it serves about 500 customers in 14 segments. Growth beyond its largest customer can lower reliance on one account.
Supportive ifRevenue excluding the large customer grows year over year in the second half, near or above the first-half rate of 19%.
Worry ifRevenue excluding the large customer turns flat or falls year over year in the second half.
Why it matters: This customer made up about 29% of first-half revenue. A sharp drop could outweigh growth elsewhere.
Worry ifQ3 revenue from this customer drops below its first-half rate. The company reports a planned shift to other vendors.
Less concerning ifThe customer keeps or raises order volume. Its new API transition adds transactions.
Why it matters: Management said it aims to stay profitable for the full year. Net income was positive in both first-half quarters.
Supportive ifThe company reports positive net income for full-year 2026.
Worry ifThe company reports a net loss in the second half or full-year 2026.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$165 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $554 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,675 loss on $10,000 · 76.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The report can show how much the large customer's vendor shift cut transactions. It can also test the full-year profit goal.
Watch forQ3 revenue grows at least 10% year over year, and the company reports positive net income.
Also watch forQ3 revenue falls year over year, or the company reports a net loss.