Intellicheck Inc (IDN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.79-3.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IDN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -9.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IDN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 13, 2026, Intellicheck, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing its results of operations for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Report, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the…
Why it matters: Keeping positive operating income shows good cost control. It also shows strong operations.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q3 2026 is greater than $0.5 million.
Worry ifOperating income for Q3 2026 goes back into the negative.
Why it matters: Improving operating income shows good cost control and revenue use. This helps long-term profits.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $542,000 for Q2.
Worry ifOperating income was below $542,000 for Q2.
Why it matters: Positive adjusted EBITDA for Q3 shows that operations are getting better. They are making money.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is more than $1 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 falls below $1 million.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may impact Intellicheck's growth trajectory. This signals a potential slowdown.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Having different customers lowers risk and helps revenue grow.
Supportive ifNew customer additions exceed 50 in Q3.
Worry ifNew customer additions are fewer than 20 in Q3.
Why it matters: The CTO is leaving. This may impact product development and strategy. Watch for changes in leadership.
Worry ifNo further executive changes are announced in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifAnother key executive will leave in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This vertical is Intellicheck's largest and shows strong growth potential. Tracking its performance helps assess overall revenue health.
Supportive ifBanking and lending revenue grows year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifBanking and lending revenue growth is less than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth may mean less demand for Intellicheck's services.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth remains above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: If net income keeps going up, Intellicheck is closer to making money.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 is reported above $636,000.
Worry ifNet income for Q2 is reported below $636,000.
Why it matters: This earnings report will show how well Intellicheck is doing financially.
Watch forEarnings report shows strong revenue and income growth.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows weak revenue and income results.
Why it matters: A new CTO could change product development and strategy. This is important for growth.
Watch forThey announced a new CTO with experience in the industry.
Also watch forNo announcement of a new CTO or delays in filling the position.
Why it matters: A key customer is shifting to a multi-source vendor model. This could impact Intellicheck's revenue.
Worry ifTransaction levels from the key customer drop by more than 20% compared to the previous quarter.
Less concerning ifTransaction levels from the key customer are steady or increasing from last quarter.
Why it matters: This customer represented 29% of first-half 2026 revenue. A decline in revenue from them could hurt overall growth.
Worry ifRevenue from this customer falls a lot in Q3 2026 compared to Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifRevenue from this customer remains stable or grows in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: High operating costs can hurt profits. They may also show poor cost management.
Worry ifOperating expenses for Q2 increase more than 5% compared to Q1.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses for Q2 stay the same or go down.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the business is doing well. It also supports management's plans.
Supportive ifIf Q3 revenue grows more than 15% from last year, it shows strong performance.
Worry ifIf Q3 revenue growth is below 10% from last year, it may mean problems.
Why it matters: If this customer has fewer transactions, it could hurt total revenue and profits.
Worry ifA big drop in transactions from the key customer will affect total revenue.
Less concerning ifIf transaction levels stay steady or go up, it shows strong customer relationships.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$182 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $537 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,019 loss on $10,000 · 70.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.