Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR)
AMEXMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
$19.57-2.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.38 → 1.38 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for IDR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating income increases to at least $7.58M by 2026-Q1 | Operating income rose from $2.59M to $7.58M in the same period. | Intact | Operating income falls below $2.59M in any quarter through 2026-Q1 | Operating income: $3.663M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $7.58M. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 13, 20263,662,904 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 11, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
IDR is an execution-sensitive mining and development story with a sector tailwind, rather than a clear-cut durable compounder. The long-term thesis is intact, but confidence has fallen to low and near-term earnings risk is elevated.
The valuation evidence points to IDR being cheap versus peers, with expectations close to the model’s baseline. The priced-in assessment is tagged justified, and no evidence indicates concentrated valuation fragility.
Recent performance has been strong: revenue, net income, and EPS were higher in 2026-Q2 than in 2025-Q2, while exploration drilling and underground development also increased. Management is on track with maintaining financial performance and expanding development, but erratic earnings and a run of misses raise the risk of another weak quarter; a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative.
The multi-year view depends on sustained financial performance and continued progress in exploration and development, including the mixed-status rare earth projects. Near term, guidance and earnings delivery are key; sector bellwethers’ results may also strengthen or weaken the Materials tailwind.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, IDR’s strong recent results and development progress support an intact long-term thesis, while low confidence and elevated earnings risk leave execution uncertain. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $14.48M. |
| Intact |
| Revenue falls below $9.48M in any quarter through 2026-Q1 |
Revenue: $10.732M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $14.48M. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 13, 202610,732,335 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “idr_ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Idaho Strategic Reports Second Quarter 2026 Operating and Financial Performance Highlighted by a 13.25% Increase in Revenue to $10,732,335 COEUR D’ALENE, Idaho, August 13, 2026 (BUSINESS WIRE) – Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc .” “idr_ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Idaho Strategic Reports Record First Quarter 2026 Operating and Financial Performance Highlighted by a 98.97% Increase in Revenue to $14,482,286 and Record Quarterly Net Income of $6,387,992 COEUR D’ALENE, Idaho, May 14, 2026 (BUSINESS WIRE) – Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (NYSE American: IDR) (“IDR”, “Idaho Strategic” or the “Company”) today announced its consolidated operating and financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2026.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Sustain revenue growth near 16% annually | A supporting condition in Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= 15% YoY. | Intact | Revenue growth falls below 10% YoY over next 12 months | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “idr_ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Idaho Strategic Reports Second Quarter 2026 Operating and Financial Performance Highlighted by a 13.25% Increase in Revenue to $10,732,335 COEUR D’ALENE, Idaho, August 13, 2026 (BUSINESS WIRE) – Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc .” “idr_ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Idaho Strategic Reports Record First Quarter 2026 Operating and Financial Performance Highlighted by a 98.97% Increase in Revenue to $14,482,286 and Record Quarterly Net Income of $6,387,992 COEUR D’ALENE, Idaho, May 14, 2026 (BUSINESS WIRE) – Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (NYSE American: IDR) (“IDR”, “Idaho Strategic” or the “Company”) today announced its consolidated operating and financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2026.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.51 → $1.38 · observed estimates
$0.06B → $0.05B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.51 | $61,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.48 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.48 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.48 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.48 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.48 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.45 | $60,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.38 | $53,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.