IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$322.57+2.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IESC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 52.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IESC — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-08-11
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, at the Closing, IES will issue shares of Buyer Common Stock comprising the Stock Consideration to Seller. The Stock Consideration will be issued in a private placement exempt from the registration requirements of the Securities Act, in reliance on the exemptions set forth in Section 4(a)(2) thereof.
Why it matters: A big increase in backlog shows strong future revenue and customer demand.
Supportive ifBacklog growth exceeds 65% year over year by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifBacklog growth is less than 50% year over year by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is slowing. If revenue growth picks up, it could boost IESC's outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is rising again, moving back toward its highs above 5%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is slowing down, now below 5%.
Why it matters: Court cases could change the timeline or terms of the deal. This could affect IES's growth plans.
Worry ifCourt cases end positively, letting the deal move forward as planned.
Less concerning ifCourt cases cause delays or changes to the deal terms.
Why it matters: A big backlog increase shows strong future revenue and demand for services.
Supportive ifBacklog grows to over $4.5 billion in Q3 2026, up from $4.5 billion in Q2 2026.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or fails to grow from $4.5 billion in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in operating income margin may mean costs are rising or there are inefficiencies.
Worry ifOperating income margin drops below 14.4% in Q3 2026 (from $178.5 million on $1,243 million revenue).
Less concerning ifOperating income margin stays at or above 14.4% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Higher earnings per share shows strong profits. It also shows good operational efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS is over $6.70. This shows strong earnings growth.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS is below $5.50. This signals possible profit issues.
Why it matters: Sustained growth in key segments shows the company is on track with its growth strategy. It reflects overall business health.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in key segments stays above 10% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth in key segments drops below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how IESC is performing in a tough market. Investors will look for signs of growth or weakness.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth rising above 5% compared to last year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Closing the DBM Global deal will grow IES's structural steel business and revenue.
Supportive ifThe deal will close by December 31, 2026, after getting all approvals.
Worry ifThe deal may be delayed or not close because of regulatory problems.
Why it matters: High revenue growth shows strong demand and good performance in key areas.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue growth exceeds 40% compared to Q4 2025.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth falls below 30% year over year.
Why it matters: More spending on capital helps growth. It also increases capacity, which is important for future revenue.
Supportive ifCapital spending will be over $50 million in Q4 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending will drop below $40 million in Q4 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$272 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $709 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,526 loss on $10,000 · 35.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.