INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC NEW (IHG)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$159.95-0.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IHG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Review the full earnings evidenceWhy it matters: If the consumer discretionary sector makes more money, it could help IHG.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows a positive change after being negative.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative for another quarter.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims can signal economic weakness. This could impact travel and hotel bookings for IHG.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims are now more than 300,000.
Less concerning ifClaims fall below 250,000.
Why it matters: The FOMC's decision on interest rates can influence travel budgets and hotel demand. A rate hike may slow spending.
Worry ifFOMC raises rates by 25 basis points or more.
Less concerning ifFOMC keeps rates unchanged or lowers them.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much people are spending. Strong sales can lead to more hotel guests.
Supportive ifRetail sales increase more than 0.5% month over month.
Worry ifRetail sales decrease or grow less than 0.1% month over month.
Why it matters: This index affects consumer spending and can impact hotel bookings. A rise may signal higher costs for travelers.
Watch forCPI increases more than 0.3% month over month.
Also watch forCPI increases less than 0.1% month over month.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $213 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,304 loss on $10,000 · 13.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.