Information Services Group, Inc. (III)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.19+1.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · III
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
III — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-07
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, ISG will discuss its financial results during a teleconference call on Friday, May 8, 2026 at 9:00am (ET). To access the teleconference call, go to ISG’s website at www.isg-one.com. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of the Exchange Act. ISG reports all financial information required in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). ISG believes, however, t…
Why it matters: A miss would show less demand for ISG's services. This would hurt growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $63.5 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue reported above $64.5 million.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a slowdown in the IT sector. This could impact ISG's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below the median rate for the past year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above the median rate.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show management believes in the company's value. It shows a commitment to returning cash.
Supportive ifShare buybacks over $2.3 million are planned for the next quarter.
Worry ifNo share buybacks were announced or done in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The share buyback shows a promise to return money to shareholders. It shows financial strength.
Supportive ifISG completes the $30 million share repurchase program as planned.
Worry ifISG fails to execute the planned share repurchase program.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$127 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $418 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,763 loss on $10,000 · 37.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: An expansion would show strong confidence in future cash flows. It also affects capital use.
Supportive ifThere was an increase in the share repurchase plan beyond $30 million.
Worry ifNo news about more share repurchase expansion.
Why it matters: Strong growth in recurring revenue would confirm the firm's strength in AI-centered services.
Supportive ifRecurring revenue grew more than 10% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifRecurring revenue grew less than 5% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: A decline would mean higher costs or lower profits. This would challenge management.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $8.5 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA was more than $9.5 million.
Why it matters: A drop in recurring revenue would raise worries about ISG's growth.
Worry ifRecurring revenue was below $30 million.
Less concerning ifRecurring revenue was above $30 million.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback program can show management's trust in the company.
Supportive ifManagement announces more growth or speed in the share buyback program.
Worry ifNo updates or a reduction in the share repurchase program.