Information Services Group, Inc. (III)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.96-1.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · III
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
III — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-02
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, ISG will discuss its financial results during a teleconference call on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 9:00am (ET). To access the teleconference call, go to ISG’s website at www.isg-one.com. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of the Exchange Act. ISG reports all financial information required in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). ISG believes, howev…
Why it matters: ISG set Q3 revenue guidance at $63.5 million to $64.5 million. A result above the range would extend recent growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $64.5 million and grows year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $63.5 million or falls year over year.
Why it matters: The new plan raises available repurchases to $32.3 million. Reports can show whether ISG uses the added authority.
Watch forA later report shows repurchases above the $2.3 million left from the prior plan.
Also watch forA later report shows no further repurchases after the prior $2.3 million is used.
Why it matters: The tech sector is still growing, but its growth trend is easing. ISG's Q3 results can show if its growth keeps pace.
Worry ifISG reports Q3 revenue growth below the sector's reported revenue growth.
Less concerning ifISG reports Q3 revenue growth at or above the sector's reported revenue growth.
Why it matters: Management links AI-centered services to growth. Recurring revenue reached a Q2 high of $30 million.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report shows recurring revenue above $30 million and growth from a year earlier.
Worry ifA later report shows recurring revenue at or below $30 million, with no growth from a year earlier.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $384 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,763 loss on $10,000 · 37.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The multiyear deal is ISG's largest single client contract. Its delivery can show whether large AI governance work adds revenue.
Supportive ifISG reports revenue or recurring fees from the contract to manage $300 million in technology spend.
Worry ifISG reports that the contract was delayed, cut in scope, or ended.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA rose 13% in Q2, and its margin reached 14.3%. A drop below guidance would break that recent trend.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $8.5 million or falls year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $9.5 million and grows year over year.