Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$31.26+0.68%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IIIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
IIIN — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities The information set forth u…
Dated 2026-08-21
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities The information set forth under
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows strong cash flow and a promise to share money with investors.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend remains at $0.03 per share for the next declaration.
Worry ifManagement cuts the dividend below $0.03 per share.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows that the company is financially healthy. It also shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company declares a quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company stops or lowers the cash dividend in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in selling prices will show how well the company manages costs. This is important as raw material prices rise.
Watch forAverage selling prices increase by more than 1.0% from Q1 2026.
Also watch forAverage selling prices drop or stay the same. This shows there is pricing pressure.
Why it matters: More shipments mean more construction work. This shows a rise in demand.
Supportive ifShipments grow by more than 10% in the next quarter compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifIf shipments stay flat or drop next quarter, it shows ongoing problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$127 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $320 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,583 loss on $10,000 · 35.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes in raw material costs affect profit margins and pricing.
Watch forRaw material costs drop a lot, which helps profit margins.
Also watch forRaw material costs increase further, squeezing profit margins.
Why it matters: Changes in spending plans show how confident management is about growth. A cut may mean caution.
Watch forManagement says spending for fiscal 2026 is back on track at $15 million.
Also watch forManagement cuts spending plans from the current $15 million guidance.
Why it matters: Strong shipment growth shows recovery from past weather issues. It also supports good demand.
Supportive ifQ3 shipments increase year over year by more than 5%.
Worry ifQ3 shipments decline year over year or show no growth.
Why it matters: A rise in shipments will show that construction is picking up after winter weather issues.
Supportive ifShipments increase by more than 6.9% sequentially from Q1 2026.
Worry ifShipments do not go up or down. This shows there are still ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Lower spending may show management is careful about growth and costs.
Worry ifActual capital spending for fiscal 2026 is less than $15 million.
Less concerning ifCapital spending is over $15 million as changed before.
Why it matters: A drop in gross profit margin signals worsening cost pressures. This could hurt profitability.
Worry ifGross profit margin falls below 10% for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin stays above 10% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Stable or lower raw material costs would improve profit margins and support earnings.
Supportive ifRaw material costs decrease by more than 5% compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifRaw material costs increase by more than 5% compared to the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Net sales growth indicates demand strength in construction markets. This is key for future performance.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales exceed $197.7 million, showing continued growth.
Worry ifQ3 net sales are below $197.7 million. This shows weak demand.
Why it matters: Gross margin trends show how well the company manages costs versus selling prices. This is crucial for profitability.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin improves from 10.2% compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin drops below 10.2%. This shows increasing cost pressures.