Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Terrestrial Energy Inc (IMSR)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.56-10.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for IMSR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain disciplined cash management and capital allocation | Management focuses on careful cash use despite losses. | Intact | cash burn worsens beyond negative $15.4 million in any quarter | Cash from operations: $-5.701M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: cash from operations better than negative $15.4 million quarterly. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Jun 30, 2026-5,701,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 10, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative development-stage nuclear technology thesis, not an established earnings compounder. Management has made progress on engineering, licensing, and supply preparation, but the thesis remains in a watch state and confidence is low.
The evidence snapshot does not include valuation or market-expectations data, so how much progress is already reflected in the valuation cannot be assessed. The market’s assumptions are therefore unclear, and no valuation comparison is supported by the available evidence.
Over the multi-year view, development and commercialization progress could build through engineering work, regulatory approvals, and fuel qualification. Near term, recent financial performance is weak relative to the industry cohort, and a guidance cut on the next call is a stated risk; the snapshot also shows rising overall risk and lower confidence.
The thesis depends on continued engineering and licensing progress, alongside successful supply-chain and fuel qualification work. A guidance cut would weaken the near-term setup, while easing interest rates or strong results from major utility peers could support the sector backdrop, though neither confirms IMSR’s own execution.
The 1-to-3-year view is an early-stage, high-risk commercialization story with some reported project progress but weak recent financial performance and limited confidence in the evidence. The key test is whether management turns development milestones into sustained operating progress. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Advance IMSR nuclear technology development toward commercial use |
| Terrestrial Energy is advancing its IMSR nuclear technology steadily. |
| Intact |
| progress stalls or reverses on IMSR development milestones in FY26 |
Qualitative milestones advancing (NRC submission, 1-3 new projects) NRC report submitted, 1-3 additional IMSR projects outlined, and lifetime revenue up 29%. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve regulatory milestones for IMSR reactor licensing | A supporting condition in Terrestrial Energy Inc's published investment case. The stated target is progress on regulatory approvals through 2026. | Intact | regulatory progress stalls or reverses in FY26 | Qualitative progress: NRC report submitted Sep 2026 Terrestrial Energy submitted a molten salt reactor report to the NRC on September 13, 2026, advancing licensing milestones. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.82 → $-0.69 · observed estimates
Unavailable → $0.05B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-2.19 | $0 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.77 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.80 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.82 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.75 | Unavailable | 2 / 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.69 | $49,000,000 | 2 / 5 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 5 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
1 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.