Ingredion (INGR)
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$101.26-0.41%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put INGR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EPS between $10.45 and $11.15: FY26 EPS guidance $9.15-$9.75 vs $10.45 target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskIngredion's growth depends on successfully integrating the Tate & Lyle acquisition and achieving its EPS guidance. Revenue grew 1% year over year, and the latest quarter beat estimates. It trades at 9.7× P/E versus a peer median of 17×, indicating the price reflects less growth than expected. The primary risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 25% probability of missing next-quarter estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. INGR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering INGR (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INGR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Agricultural Products & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put INGR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Complete acquisition of Tate & Lyle and integrate operations
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Tate & Lyle deal progresses with significant synergies.
Advances: Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance $10.45 to $11.15
Q2 beat and reaffirmed guidance support growth objectives.
M&A call provides insights into strategic growth plans.
Acquisition of Tate & Lyle aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Complete acquisition of Tate & Lyle and integrate operations
Completion of Tate & Lyle acquisition is a major milestone.
Advanced talks indicate strong commitment to growth strategy.
Threatens: Improve operational reliability at Argo plant and Food & Industrial Ingredients…
Operational issues at Argo facility impact earnings.