Intellinetics Inc (INLX)
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.10-0.78%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INLX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 81.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INLX — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-01
CEO — Matthew Chretien: The CEO is retiring and resigning, which is an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss or shock departure.
Why it matters: The CEO change could impact the company's direction and performance. Clarity is needed for investor trust.
Watch forThe new CEO shares a clear strategy. This resonates well with investors and analysts.
Also watch forThe CEO change causes confusion or lack of direction. This leads to stock price swings.
Why it matters: Updates on SaaS growth are critical to the company's long-term strategy. Mixed signals could impact confidence.
Supportive ifManagement announces a big new SaaS contract or partnership. This boosts growth outlook.
Worry ifManagement reports continued slow growth in SaaS with no new contracts announced.
Why it matters: More cash shows better financial health and liquidity.
Supportive ifCash balance exceeds $1.7 million at the end of Q3.
Worry ifCash balance falls below $1.7 million at the end of Q3.
Why it matters: Finishing transition costs shows management is stable and aims for growth.
Supportive ifNo new CEO transition costs reported in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNew CEO transition costs reported in Q3 2026.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $574 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,975 loss on $10,000 · 59.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better Adjusted EBITDA means the company is doing well financially. This helps build trust with investors.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 shows a profit or loss less than $200,000.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 shows a loss greater than $300,000.
Why it matters: Keeping costs steady helps make more profit and reduces losses.
Supportive ifOperating expenses go down or stay steady compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating expenses rise a lot compared to Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A decrease shows better cost control and management.
Supportive ifOperating expenses are less than in Q2.
Worry ifOperating expenses are more than in Q2.
Why it matters: Improvement means more projects. This is important for total revenue.
Supportive ifProfessional services revenue is higher than last year in Q3.
Worry ifProfessional services revenue is lower than last year in Q3.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth falls, it may impact Intellinetics' performance. This could signal broader challenges.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median, indicating a slowdown in the growth phase.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is still above average. This means it is likely to keep growing.
Why it matters: It is important to keep Adjusted EBITDA positive. This shows the company is stable.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA should stay above $1 million in the next earnings report.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $0 in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: The new CEO's ability to execute on plans is critical for future growth. This could affect investor sentiment.
Watch forOperational metrics get much better in Q2 2026. This shows the company is performing well.
Also watch forOperational metrics get worse or do not change in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The CEO change can affect the company and how investors feel. We need clarity.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new CEO with a clear strategy for growth.
Also watch forNo announcement or further delays in the CEO transition.
Why it matters: Details from the Q2 earnings report can clarify growth trends and financial health. Positive surprises could boost stock performance.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth above 10% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company maintains positive Adjusted EBITDA. This is key for growth.
Watch forThe earnings report shows positive Adjusted EBITDA. It meets or exceeds earlier guidance.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows negative Adjusted EBITDA. It is below previous guidance.
Why it matters: Achieving this growth would show that Intellinetics is on track with its goals. It would signal strong demand for its software services.
Supportive ifQ3 SaaS revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 SaaS revenue growth remains below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: A smaller adjusted EBITDA loss shows better cost control. It means the company's finances are improving.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss narrows compared to the loss of $371,096 in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss widens compared to the loss in Q2.
Why it matters: More revenue means the company's changes are working. It shows they are doing better with their business plan.
Supportive ifTotal revenue growth stabilizes or improves from the -1.6% decline seen in Q2.
Worry ifTotal revenue continues to decline year over year.