Innodata, Inc. (INOD)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$38.62-10.81%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 147.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 37.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 110.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
INOD — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-30
CEO — Rahul Singhal: The filing details the planned internal succession where the President and CRO is promoted to CEO while the outgoing CEO transitions to Executive Chairman, which is a standard leadership transition rather than a loss of an executive.
Why it matters: This tests whether strong first-half growth can support the full-year target. Management said some large programs are not yet in its guidance.
Supportive ifOn the November 5 earnings call, management keeps 2026 revenue growth guidance at 40% or more, or raises it.
Worry ifManagement lowers its 2026 revenue growth outlook to below 40%.
Why it matters: Management tied recent margin gains to dataset sales and high-value training work. A drop below its stated 40% target would show that gains have faded.
Watch forQ3 adjusted gross margin is at or above 49%, matching or topping Q2.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted gross margin falls below management's 40% goal.
Why it matters: The account grew from 17% of Q1 revenue to 34% in Q2. A sharp drop could weaken growth and leave revenue more tied to the largest customer.
Watch forQ3 results show the Big Tech account at or above 34% of revenue, with continued program growth.
Also watch forQ3 results show the Big Tech account below 17% of revenue or a canceled or reduced program.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$273 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $858 loss on $10,000 · 8.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,599 loss on $10,000 · 66.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.