Innodata, Inc. (INOD)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$55.66+1.11%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 194.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 161.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INOD — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-06
CEO — Jack S. Abuhoff: Jack S. Abuhoff is transitioning from CEO to Executive Chairman, and Rahul Singhal has been appointed as the new CEO.
Why it matters: Management has reiterated a 40% or more growth target. Changes could signal shifts in demand or execution.
Watch forManagement raises revenue growth forecast to over 40% from last year.
Also watch forManagement lowers revenue growth forecast to under 40% from last year.
Why it matters: M&A can enhance growth and market position. It shows management's commitment to expansion.
Watch forA strategic acquisition was announced. It fits with growth goals.
Also watch forNo M&A activity was announced by Q3 2026. This shows no progress.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows the company can manage costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income increases from Q1 2026 to Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income falls or stays the same compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: New contracts with Big Tech could add $51 million in revenue. This signals strong customer growth.
Supportive ifNew revenue from Big Tech deals is over $51 million in 2026.
Worry ifNo new revenue from Big Tech engagements, or revenue falls short of $51 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$364 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $826 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,303 loss on $10,000 · 63.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New contracts can boost revenue and support growth plans.
Supportive ifNew customer contracts expected to bring in over $51 million.
Worry ifNo new major customer contracts in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A drop in margin may show operational problems or rising costs.
Worry ifThe EBITDA margin is below 25%.
Less concerning ifEBITDA margin stays above 25%.
Why it matters: The new CEO's success is key for keeping growth strong.
Watch forPositive performance metrics in Q3 under new CEO Rahul Singhal.
Also watch forDecline in performance metrics or missed targets in Q3 under new CEO.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial plans. This can affect growth and profits.
Supportive ifGood changes in financial plans or better financial numbers after the CFO starts.
Worry ifNo clear changes in financial plans or performance after the CFO transition.
Why it matters: New customer contracts can boost revenue and add income sources.
Supportive ifNew customer contracts are expected to bring in a lot of revenue.
Worry ifNo new customer contracts have been announced, or existing ones have been cut.
Why it matters: If revenue growth slows, it could signal a shift in the growth phase for the sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth is lower than usual. This may mean a slowdown is coming.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median, showing continued sector strength.
Why it matters: Management has reiterated a 40% or more revenue growth target for 2026. Confirmation shows they are on track.
Supportive ifManagement says Q3 revenue will grow by 40% or more compared to last year.
Worry ifManagement cuts revenue growth to below 40% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Growth in adjusted EBITDA shows efficiency and profit. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifThe adjusted EBITDA growth rate is more than 50% compared to last year in Q3.
Worry ifThe adjusted EBITDA growth rate is less than 30% compared to last year in Q3.
Why it matters: New customer engagements can drive revenue growth. They are crucial for sustaining momentum.
Supportive ifNew customer engagements are expected to bring in a lot of revenue.
Worry ifNo new customer engagements will be announced in the next quarter.