Inseego Corp. (INSG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.24+5.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INSG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 79.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INSG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, Inseego Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing preliminary financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. On August 5, 2026, the Company also posted an investor presentation to its website at https://investor.inseego.com/events-presentations (the “Company Earnings Presentation”). The text of the press release and Company Earnings Presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 to this Form 8-K and…
Why it matters: Stronger Adjusted EBITDA shows better cost control and efficiency. This helps build investor trust.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA shows it is better than last quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA keeps going down or stays the same.
Why it matters: Legal problems can affect money made and how investors feel. Clear outcomes are very important.
Worry ifWinning the legal case is good for Inseego. It also lowers uncertainty.
Less concerning ifBad rulings or settlements that could hurt finances.
Why it matters: This acquisition could enhance Inseego's product offerings and revenue potential. Progress here is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifThe asset purchase agreement with Nokia is complete. Updates on integration are coming.
Worry ifDelays or setbacks in the acquisition process.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Inseego can improve its loss-making status. This is key for future growth.
Watch forThe earnings report shows smaller losses. It may also show a profit.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows more losses. It may also show a worse financial position.
Why it matters: Stable revenue growth is key for reaching the $190 million target in 2026.
Watch forQuarterly revenue shows growth compared to Q1 2026.
Also watch forQuarterly revenue keeps falling compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt Inseego's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows strong demand. It also shows good execution in the business.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported at or above $36.5 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $36.5 million.
Why it matters: If revenue is below this level, it shows trouble in making sales from new products.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, total revenue was below $28 million.
Less concerning ifIn Q3 2026, total revenue was above $35 million.
Why it matters: Closing this deal would double Inseego's revenue and enhance its market position.
Supportive ifThey announced that they successfully closed the Nokia deal.
Worry ifThey announced delays or failure to close the Nokia acquisition.
Why it matters: A worse result shows ongoing problems with costs and making money.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, Adjusted EBITDA was worse than -$2 million.
Less concerning ifIn Q3 2026, Adjusted EBITDA was better than -$1 million.
Why it matters: A drop in gross margin shows worsening profits and efficiency.
Worry ifQ3 2026 gross margin reported below 33.8%.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 gross margin reported above 35%.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$342 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $744 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,019 loss on $10,000 · 80.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.