Intel Corporation (INTC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$95.80+4.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INTC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $96 INTC trades at 8.6× p/s, in line with its 8.3× p/s peer median — but our blended $76 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: its earnings are too depressed to value on P/E (we anchor on sales instead). Analysts target $75–$200. The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $120.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $14.42 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $55.09 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $17.46 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$75.00 – $200.00 (median $120.00) · 31 analysts · as of 2026-09-04
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $21.00 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $172.74 | 49.4 | 3.50 | Mgmt | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $92.22 | 22.3 | 4.46 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $25.84 | 46.6 | 0.55 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $72.73 | 25.3 | 2.88 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $92.43 | 8.3 | 11.17 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $51.21 | 20.3 | 2.52 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $15.58 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $53.39 | 49.4 | 1.08 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $112.94 | 25.3 | 4.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $149.74 | 8.3 | 18.10 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $90.85 | 20.3 | 4.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $149.36 | 25.3 | 5.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $198.03 | 8.3 | 23.94 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $120.15 | 20.3 | 5.91 | Analyst | medium |