Intel Corporation (INTC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$58.27-3.77%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INTC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-12
Other Events. On August 10, 2026, Intel Corporation (“Intel” or the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and Citigroup Global Markets Inc., as the representatives of the underwriters (the “Underwriters”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell 210,526,315 shares of common stock, $0.001 par value (“Common Stock”), at a price of $95.00 per share (such of…
Why it matters: Intel says early commitments may start in H2 2026 and grow in H1 2027. Named customer commitments would back its foundry plan.
Supportive ifIntel names at least one outside customer with an Intel 14A design commitment by June 30, 2027.
Worry ifBy June 30, 2027, Intel reports no outside commitment to design with Intel 14A. Or a customer delays its commitment.
Why it matters: Intel's score fell by 60 points after fresh results, while several peers have stronger scores. A rebound would ease that concern.
Watch forThe next company momentum score rises above -4.2.
Also watch forThe next company momentum score stays at or below -4.2.
Why it matters: Foundry revenue rose to $6.7 billion in Q3, up 58% year over year. Another gain would show the business is still growing.
Supportive ifThe next reported Intel Foundry revenue is above $6.7 billion.
Worry ifThe next reported Intel Foundry revenue is $6.7 billion or less.
Why it matters: Intel beat its Q1 guide, but fresh results drove a sharp drop in its momentum score. Q4 revenue will test whether demand still beats supply.
Watch forIntel reports Q4 revenue above the range in its October 29, 2026, earnings release.
Also watch forIntel reports Q4 revenue below the range in its October 29, 2026, earnings release.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$284 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $657 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,866 loss on $10,000 · 58.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.