Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Inuvo Inc (INUV)
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.44-0.34%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for INUV yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Positive EPS in FY 2026 | Recent EPS beat shows some financial improvement. | Broken | EPS falls below $0.40 in FY26 | Diluted EPS: $-0.27 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.40 EPS. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 11, 2026-0.27 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround and growth story, not a proven durable compounder. The long-term thesis is still being tested: audience modeling is growing, while Legacy Search is shrinking and recent financial performance remains weak.
INUV is tagged as cheap versus peers, but the valuation model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative, which points to limited support from current expectations. The snapshot does not show a high fragility signal, but the company is loss-making and the valuation evidence is uncertain.
Near term, erratic earnings and the August earnings miss leave a meaningful risk of another weak result or guidance cut. Over the multi-year view, Audience Modeling revenue growth and sharp operating-cost reductions support progress, but the 80% decline in Legacy Search revenue and limited cash position remain concerns.
The thesis depends on continued growth in Audience Modeling and IntentKey adoption while Legacy Search costs fall without further damage to the business. A guidance cut would weaken the case; easing rates or steadier results from major technology companies could improve the sector backdrop, but those factors do not resolve INUV’s execution risks.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, INUV’s case depends on whether its growing Audience Modeling business can offset Legacy Search weakness and support better financial performance. The long-term thesis remains fragile because losses, volatile management signals, and near-term earnings risk persist. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company keeps extending its Google Services Agreement. |
| Intact |
| Google Services Agreement not extended or terminated early |
Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue at or above $12.97 million in FY 2026 | A primary condition in Inuvo Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $12.97 million. | Broken | Revenue falls below $12.97 million in FY26 | Revenue: $7.535M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $12.97 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 11, 20267,535,055 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.08 → $-0.49 · observed estimates
$0.04B → $0.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.08 | $44,290,630 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.34 | $34,054,177 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.43 | $35,867,050 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.49 | $35,489,400 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.