Inter Parfums, Inc. (IPAR)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$116.69+2.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IPAR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 18.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IPAR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
They are as follows : The 1 st , 2 nd (consisting of a table), 4 th , 5 th , 6 th , 9 th through 14 th full paragraphs relating to results of operations for the second quarter of 2026 Part of the 3 rd paragraph relating to results of operations for the second quarter of 2026 Part of the 15 th paragraph relating advertising & promotional (“A&P”) expenses and net sales The 16th through 18 th paragraphs relating to operating margins and effective tax rate The 19 th paragraph relating t…
Why it matters: Sales trends in Europe are important. They help us see company growth during challenges.
Worry ifEuropean based sales decline reported worse than -4% in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifEuropean based sales stabilize or grow year over year.
Why it matters: The exchange rate affects sales and profits. A good rate can improve results.
Watch forThe dollar/euro exchange rate strengthens to 1.15 or better.
Also watch forThe dollar/euro exchange rate weakens to 1.20 or worse.
Why it matters: Faster revenue growth would show a positive change in the business.
Supportive ifRevenue growth shows signs of re-acceleration back toward previous highs.
Worry ifRevenue growth keeps slowing from current levels.
Why it matters: This change could impact financial reporting and investor trust.
Worry ifManagement explains the reasons and effects of the accountant change.
Less concerning ifNo new updates or bad effects come from the accountant change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $354 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,086 loss on $10,000 · 30.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance is confirmed, it shows strong earnings growth. It also shows good operational efficiency.
Supportive ifEPS reported at or above $4.85 for 2026, confirming strong earnings outlook.
Worry ifEPS was below $4.85 for 2026. This suggests possible earnings challenges.
Why it matters: Cash flow is vital for operational health. A continued decline could signal deeper financial issues.
Worry ifCash flow from operations reported below $85 million in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations reported above $85 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Coach's performance is important. It helps Inter Parfums make more money.
Watch forCoach brand sales growth reported at 20% or more in Q2 2026.
Also watch forCoach brand sales decline reported in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow helps the company run well and stay stable. It shows how well the company controls costs and invests in growth.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow is still positive. It is better than in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating cash flow turns negative in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Successful new launches can boost sales and brand visibility. They are essential for maintaining growth in a competitive market.
Supportive ifAt least two new fragrance line extensions launched by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new fragrance launches announced by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Confirming or revising the $1.48 billion revenue outlook is key for growth.
Supportive ifManagement confirms the $1.48 billion revenue outlook for the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement cuts the revenue outlook to $1.48 billion.
Why it matters: New product launches can help sales grow. They also make the brand stronger in a tough market.
Supportive ifLaunch of at least three new fragrance extensions in H2 2026.
Worry ifNo new fragrance launches occur in H2 2026.
Why it matters: Changing auditors can affect how investors feel. It can also change financial reports. Understanding this is important for being clear and open.
Worry ifA press release confirming the new accountant is in place and no issues arise.
Less concerning ifFurther issues or delays related to the change in the accountant.
Why it matters: Legal problems might stop operations. They could also lower investor trust.
Worry ifNo major legal issues came from the accountant change. This confirms smooth operations.
Less concerning ifLegal issues related to the accountant change have appeared. This shows operational risk.
Why it matters: Keeping the EPS guidance shows confidence in making money. This is true even with recent earnings issues.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms EPS guidance of $4.85 for 2026.
Worry ifManagement has cut EPS guidance to under $4.85.
Why it matters: Earnings per share above $1.35 would support the company's guidance of $4.85 for the year.
Supportive ifIn Q2 2026, EPS was over $1.35. This shows progress towards the yearly EPS goal.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, EPS was under $1.35. This signals possible trouble in meeting the EPS goal.
Why it matters: If growth exceeds 2%, it shows strong brand performance. It also shows market strength despite challenges.
Supportive ifIn Q2 2026, net sales were over $341 million. This shows growth above 2%.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, net sales were at or below $341 million. This confirms weak performance.
Why it matters: This conflict has been a headwind for sales; monitoring its impact is crucial for future guidance.
Worry ifSales from the Middle East show recovery or growth in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifSales from the Middle East decline further in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Strong U.S. sales growth is crucial for offsetting declines in other regions and maintaining overall performance.
Supportive ifU.S. sales growth exceeds 15% year over year.
Worry ifU.S. sales growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Stable sales growth would confirm management's guidance for $1.48 billion in revenue for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth reported above 2% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth reported below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping EPS guidance shows confidence in making money. This is true even with recent drops.
Supportive ifQ3 diluted EPS reported at or above $1.20.
Worry ifQ3 diluted EPS reported below $1.20.
Why it matters: An improvement shows recovery in a key market. This helps overall growth.
Supportive ifEuropean sales growth improves to above 0% in Q3.
Worry ifEuropean sales growth remains negative in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow shows better financial health. It also helps with ongoing investments.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow exceeds $50 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains below $50 million in Q3.