Inter Parfums, Inc. (IPAR)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$135.28+9.48%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IPAR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 33.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IPAR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
They are as follows : The 1 st , 2 nd (consisting of a table), 4 th , 5 th , 6 th , 9 th through 14 th full paragraphs relating to results of operations for the second quarter of 2026 Part of the 3 rd paragraph relating to results of operations for the second quarter of 2026 Part of the 15 th paragraph relating advertising & promotional (“A&P”) expenses and net sales The 16th through 18 th paragraphs relating to operating margins and effective tax rate The 19 th paragraph relating t…
Why it matters: Total Q3 sales were flat year over year, while sales for the first nine months rose 1%. Management cited a positive outlook for the rest of the year.
Watch forQ4 net sales grow year over year, and management confirms full-year sales are on track for its $1.48 billion outlook.
Also watch forQ4 net sales fall year over year, or management cuts the full-year sales outlook below $1.48 billion.
Why it matters: U.S.-based sales fell 7% in Q3, but management said they would have been flat without delayed giftset shipments. A weak recovery could point to softer demand.
Watch forU.S. sales grow year over year in Q4, excluding delayed giftset shipments.
Also watch forU.S.-based sales remain below the prior year in Q4, even after the delayed shipments are counted.
Why it matters: Coach sales rose 23% in Q3, and Montblanc sales rose 12%. Continued gains would show that key launches still draw buyers.
Supportive ifCoach and Montblanc both post year-over-year sales growth in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifEither Coach or Montblanc reports lower sales year over year in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $334 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,659 loss on $10,000 · 16.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.