Ideal Power Inc (IPWR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.82+3.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IPWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 94.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 38.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 56.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IPWR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
The press release contains forward-looking statements regarding the Company and includes cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. The Company will host a conference call with investors to discuss the results. The conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday, May 14, 2026. The call may be accessed in the U.S. by dialing 1-888-506-0062 and using passcode 526807. An audio replay will be a…
Why it matters: Watching cash burn is important. It affects the company's ability to fund growth.
Worry ifCash used in operations and investments goes up a lot past $2.5 million.
Less concerning ifCash used remains flat or decreases from $2.5 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Getting production orders shows the company can turn sales into real money.
Supportive ifThe company says it got orders for solid-state circuit breakers. These orders are from an important customer in Asia.
Worry ifNo production orders are secured from the lead Asia customer by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If the sector slows down, it could hurt Ideal Power's growth. This is important for future performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median for the last quarter.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Completing this order is key for EV contactor success. It helps the company earn more.
Supportive ifAll tasks under the Stellantis order are done by mid-2026.
Worry ifTasks are not done by mid-2026, which delays making money.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$376 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $989 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,274 loss on $10,000 · 62.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Expanding OEM offerings can boost revenue and market presence. This is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifNew OEM partnerships or product launches with B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs are announced.
Worry ifNo new OEM partnerships or product launches are announced. This shows stagnation.
Why it matters: Expanding OEM offerings is crucial for revenue. No revenue was reported in Q1 2026.
Supportive ifRevenue from B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs exceeds $500,000 in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue from B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs remains at $0.
Why it matters: Getting these orders is important for making more money and shows the B-TRAN tech works.
Supportive ifProduction orders are confirmed from the lead Asia customer for SSCB products.
Worry ifNo production orders are received from the lead Asia customer by the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Turning sales into orders is important. It helps grow revenue and long-term value.
Supportive ifNew production orders from the sales funnel are announced.
Worry ifNo new production orders announced from the sales funnel in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A successful ramp shows strong demand and good ability to operate.
Supportive ifAnnounce initial production ramp with at least one key partner by Q4 2026.
Worry ifIf there is no announcement of production ramp by Q4 2026, it shows scaling issues.
Why it matters: Updates on deliverables show progress. They also show if customers are happy.
Supportive ifA good update on Stellantis deliverables by mid-2026.
Worry ifA delay or bad update on Stellantis deliverables by mid-2026.
Why it matters: This shipment is crucial for testing and could lead to production orders. Success here may signal strong demand for B-TRAN technology.
Supportive ifThe SSCB prototypes will go to the main Asia customer for testing by September 2026.
Worry ifThe shipment is late after September 2026 or does not meet customer needs.
Why it matters: More money from SSCB products shows good market entry. It shows Ideal Power's skill in making sales.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue from SSCB products exceeds $100,000 in Q3 2026.
Worry ifQuarterly revenue from SSCB products remains below $50,000 in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This test is important for proving B-TRAN technology in a big project. Good results could bring large orders.
Watch forThe U.S. hyperscaler provides positive feedback on the B-TRAN-enabled SSCB prototype by the end of Q4 2026.
Also watch forThe U.S. hyperscaler does not proceed with further development or provides negative feedback.