Ideal Power Inc (IPWR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.37-4.05%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IPWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 38.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
IPWR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
The press release contains forward-looking statements regarding the Company and includes cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. The Company will host a conference call with investors to discuss the results. The conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday, May 14, 2026. The call may be accessed in the U.S. by dialing 1-888-506-0062 and using passcode 526807. An audio replay will be a…
Why it matters: Reported revenue was $5,800 in Q2, while management aims to turn customer work into orders. A rise would show early sales progress.
Supportive ifThe November 12 earnings report shows commercial revenue above $5,800 for Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows commercial revenue at or below $5,800, or no commercial revenue.
Why it matters: A production order would show that the customer moved beyond prototype work. Management lists this as a top priority.
Supportive ifThe lead Asia customer announces or places a production order for its first SSCB products.
Worry ifThe next update reports no production order, or says the project or customer testing has slipped.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$286 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $989 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,364 loss on $10,000 · 73.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.