Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Ideal Power Inc (IPWR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.10-11.39%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for IPWR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
cash burn limited to $10M-$10.5M | Ideal Power aims to limit cash burn to $10M-$10.5M in 2026. | Improving | cash burn exceeds $10.5M in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is speculative growth, meaning the case depends on future commercial progress rather than current profits. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: management priorities show some progress, but recent financial performance is weak and the business remains loss-making.
The valuation signal is marked justified, with low fragility, but the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations remain difficult to meet. The evidence does not provide a peer comparison, so whether the shares are cheap, fair, or expensive versus peers is unclear.
Near term, fundamentals remain uncertain: revenue rose from zero in the first quarter of 2026 to $5,800 in the second quarter, while the broader performance signal has weakened and shifted from mixed to cautious. Management reports progress on production orders, the Asia customer relationship, and Stellantis deliverables, but IPWR remains loss-making and a guidance cut on the next call would be a meaningful negative.
Over the next one to three years, the thesis hinges on converting the sales funnel and customer agreements into repeat production orders and sustained revenue. A guidance cut would weaken the case, while rate cuts or stabilization among major technology peers could provide a sector tailwind without resolving company-specific execution risk.
The multi-year view is a high-risk, early-commercialization story with some execution progress but weak financial results and a cautious recent signal. The key test is whether reported customer and production progress becomes sustained revenue. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Ideal Power Inc's published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= -$1.12. |
| Intact |
| EPS loss worsens beyond -$1.12 in FY27 |
Diluted EPS: $-0.20 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= -$1.12. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 2026-0.2 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
revenue grows towards $7M | A primary condition in Ideal Power Inc's published investment case. The stated target is revenue >= $7M. | Under Pressure | revenue falls below $7M in FY27 | Revenue: $5,800 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: revenue >= $7M. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 20265,800 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
sales funnel expands to over $300M | It is growing its sales funnel to over $300M. | Improving | sales funnel stays below $300M through FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.80 → $-0.69 · observed estimates
$0.00B → $0.00B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-1.12 | $7,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.80 | $3,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.69 | $800,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Monthly analyst history is unavailable.
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Nov 12, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.