Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$366.70-0.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ISRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers
ISRG — President transition
Dated 2026-05-28
Senior Vice President of Global Business Operations — Henry L. Charlton: Henry L. Charlton is transitioning to a new role within the company.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can change company strategy and affect how well it performs. Watching this can show where the company is headed.
Watch forTaylor Patton is the new Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer. He shared good plans.
Also watch forBad feedback or slow progress in plans after the leadership change.
Why it matters: A strong commitment to share buybacks can signal confidence in the company's future. It may also support share price stability.
Supportive ifShare repurchases exceed $2 billion in 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases total less than $1 billion in 2026.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key indicator of demand for Intuitive's systems. A drop below this level may signal weakening market conditions.
Worry ifQ3 da Vinci procedure growth reported below 13.5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 da Vinci procedure growth reported above 15.5% year over year.
Why it matters: This margin is important for making money. If it drops below this level, costs may rise or prices may fall.
Worry ifNon-GAAP gross profit margin reported below 67% for Q3.
Less concerning ifNon-GAAP gross profit margin reported above 69% for Q3.
Why it matters: Aggressive share buybacks can signal management's confidence in the company's value. It may also support stock price.
Supportive ifShare repurchases reported above $2 billion by the end of Q3.
Worry ifShare repurchases reported below $1 billion by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key measure of the company's performance. A slowdown could indicate market challenges.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth reported above 19% year over year.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$121 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $318 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,400 loss on $10,000 · 44.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.