Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$18.57-2.67%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ISSC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ISSC — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-21
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 21, 2026, Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc., a Pennsylvania corporation (the “Company”), entered into a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Sparton Corporation, a Delaware corporation (“Seller”), pursuant to which the Company acquired all of the issued and outstanding membership interests (the “Membership Interests”) of Sparton Aydin, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company doing business as Aydin Di…
Why it matters: Backlog fell from $87.0 million in March to $82.9 million in June. A rise would show that new orders are keeping pace with sales.
Supportive ifReported backlog rises above $82.9 million, with new orders at or above the Q3 level of $22.7 million.
Worry ifReported backlog falls below $82.9 million and new orders fall below $22.7 million.
Why it matters: Q3 margin reached 51.7%, above the stated mid-40% range. A fall below 45% would weaken evidence that the sales mix and added products support stronger margins.
Worry ifFiscal Q4 gross margin falls below 45%.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q4 gross margin stays above 50%.
Why it matters: Sales grew 10.7% in Q3, with strength in commercial and business aviation. Another quarter above 10% would support the growth path toward $250 million in yearly sales.
Supportive ifFiscal Q4 sales rise more than 10% year over year, with growth in commercial or business aviation.
Worry ifFiscal Q4 sales grow less than 2% year over year or decline.
Why it matters: Aydin adds military display sales in naval and ground markets. Sales near its stated $16 million target would show the deal is adding to company growth.
Supportive ifAydin reports 2026 sales near or above $16 million. Existing programs continue.
Worry ifAydin reports sales well below $16 million, or says current programs have lost support.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$235 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $711 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,866 loss on $10,000 · 48.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.