ITT Inc. (ITT)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$204.33+0.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ITT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ITT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-05-07
Chief Financial Officer — Emmanuel Caprais: Mr. Caprais is leaving the Company for personal reasons after almost 14 years of service.
Why it matters: A rise in free cash flow will show better health after the acquisition.
Supportive ifFree cash flow recovers to at least $100 million in Q2.
Worry ifFree cash flow remains below $50 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Weak organic growth could signal challenges in ITT's core businesses. It impacts overall revenue outlook.
Worry ifOrganic revenue growth is still at 5% or more. This shows strong market demand.
Less concerning ifOrganic revenue growth is cut to 4% or less. This shows possible market weakness.
Why it matters: Changes in margin guidance show how well the company is doing. This affects investor trust.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating margin guidance raised to 20.0%-20.9% for the full year.
Worry ifThe operating margin plan is lower now. This is because of unexpected costs.
Why it matters: Stabilizing or improving operating income shows ITT is managing costs better. This is key for long-term health.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to at least $150M in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income drops below $140M in Q2 2026. This is a further decline.
Why it matters: Free cash flow is crucial for funding future growth and acquisitions.
Supportive ifFree cash flow guidance raised above $580 million for 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow guidance lowered below $550 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash flow helps future investments. It also shows the company is financially healthy.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations increases by at least 20% in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations decreases or remains flat in Q2.
Why it matters: Successful integration is important. It helps achieve the benefits and growth from the acquisition.
Supportive ifManagement says integration is going well. It is leading to strong performance.
Worry ifThere are delays or issues with integration. This affects revenue growth and operations.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is crucial for funding growth and managing debt after the SPX FLOW acquisition.
Supportive ifFree cash flow exceeds $40 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifFree cash flow remains below $13.8 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This will show if ITT can maintain its strong sales momentum after the SPX FLOW acquisition.
Supportive ifOrganic revenue growth guidance raised above 8% for Q3 2026.
Worry ifOrganic revenue growth guidance lowered below 5% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better profits and efficiency. It shows success in managing costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating margin hits or goes over 20.9% in the next quarters.
Worry ifThe adjusted operating margin is now below 20.0%. This may mean there are problems.
Why it matters: The new CEO's direction could change ITT's strategy and performance outlook. This is a key leadership change.
Watch forPositive strategic changes announced by the new CEO that align with growth goals.
Also watch forNo clear strategic direction or negative changes announced by the new CEO.
Why it matters: Organic growth shows how healthy the company is. It also shows its market position.
Watch forOrganic revenue growth reported above 8% for the next quarter.
Also watch forOrganic revenue growth reported below 5% for the next quarter.
Why it matters: Stable margins show good cost control. This is important during acquisition costs.
Supportive ifOperating margin is over 12.4% in Q2, showing good cost control.
Worry ifOperating margin is below 11.7%. This shows rising cost pressures.
Why it matters: Improved cash flow from operations signals strong financial health and supports future investments. This is crucial for ITT's growth strategy.
Supportive ifFree cash flow for Q3 is over $150 million. This shows strong operational performance.
Worry ifFree cash flow for Q3 is below $100 million. This suggests operational challenges.
Why it matters: Improved revenue growth signals progress in ITT's growth initiatives. This could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year, showing strong momentum.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 5% compared to last year. This shows little change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $300 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,689 loss on $10,000 · 16.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.