InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$32.63+0.25%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IVT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
IVT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 3, 2026, InvenTrust Properties Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The full text of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. On August 3, 2026, the Company posted on its website, at https://www.inventrustproperties.com/investor-relations/, certain supplemental information for the quarter ended June 30, 2026…
Why it matters: A drop in occupancy may show tenant problems and hurt revenue.
Worry ifLeased occupancy falls below 96% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifLeased occupancy stays above 96% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial stability and care for shareholders. A cut may worry about cash flow.
Supportive ifQuarterly cash distribution remains at $0.25 per share.
Worry ifQuarterly cash distribution is less than $0.25 per share.
Why it matters: Better earnings will help rebuild investor trust after the recent earnings miss.
Supportive ifQ3 earnings show net income per diluted share above $0.10.
Worry ifQ3 earnings show net income per diluted share below $0.10.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows financial strength. It shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement declares a dividend per share of $0.25 or higher for Q2 2026.
Worry ifManagement cuts the dividend per share below $0.25 for Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$70 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $157 loss on $10,000 · 1.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,203 loss on $10,000 · 12.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive outcomes from this M&A could enhance growth and revenue. This is key for future performance.
Supportive ifNews of successful integration or revenue growth from the M&A deal.
Worry ifNo good updates or delays in the M&A integration.
Why it matters: A rise in earnings shows the company is getting past recent problems. It shows better performance.
Watch forQ3 earnings are much better than Q2 results.
Also watch forQ3 earnings continue to decline or remain flat compared to Q2.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth means the leasing and buying plans are working well.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would show commitment to growth and portfolio expansion in key markets.
Supportive ifTotal acquisitions reach or go over $300 million by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal acquisitions fall under $200 million by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: A successful issuance would make the capital structure stronger. It would help growth plans.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the successful issuance of the $250 million senior notes by June 29, 2026.
Worry ifFailure to issue the $250 million senior notes as planned.
Why it matters: New acquisitions show the company's plan for growth in good markets.
Supportive ifNew acquisitions worth at least $100 million announced in Sun Belt markets.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced in Sun Belt markets by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows the company is doing well. It also helps shareholders.
Supportive ifA quarterly dividend of $0.25 was declared for Q3 2026.
Worry ifDividend cut below $0.25 in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Staying within the 3.25% to 4.25% range shows the company's stability and growth potential.
Supportive ifSame Property NOI growth reported above 3.25% for Q3 2026.
Worry ifSame Property NOI growth falls below 3.25% for Q3 2026.