IZEA Worldwide Inc (IZEA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.99-0.66%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IZEA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 42.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 79.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IZEA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-03-17
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. This information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference therein.
Why it matters: Updates on the buyback program may show management's confidence in the stock.
Supportive ifAnnounce completion of the repurchase of at least $5 million worth of shares.
Worry ifNo updates or a halt in the buyback program, signaling potential concerns about cash flow.
Why it matters: Higher adjusted EBITDA means better cost control. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is close to $0 in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA remains at or below -$0.5 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: New enterprise clients could improve revenue and validate IZEA's strategic shift. It would also help offset declining bookings.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new enterprise client contracts worth over $1 million each.
Worry ifNo new big enterprise clients have been announced.
Why it matters: A larger decline would signal challenges in the shift to enterprise clients. This could raise concerns about growth potential.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue down more than 18% compared to Q2 2025.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 revenue declines less than 18% or increases year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$164 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $455 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,842 loss on $10,000 · 48.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive growth in the sector could signal a recovery. This would be a good sign for IZEA's future performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being in decline.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This shows that there are ongoing problems.
Why it matters: More use of the ZED platform could strengthen IZEA's market position. This might improve revenue quality.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new enterprise clients using the ZED platform.
Worry ifNo new enterprise clients reported adopting the ZED platform.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it shows problems in getting enterprise clients. This could worry investors about growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $5.8 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue exceeds $5.8 million.
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it shows success in getting enterprise clients and making more money.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue is over $6.6 million. This shows recovery from the decline in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue is still below $6.6 million. This suggests ongoing problems.
Why it matters: If bookings stabilize or improve, it shows demand is recovering.
Supportive ifBookings for managed services are expected to grow each quarter. We want them to be over $6 million.
Worry ifBookings decline further or remain below $4.5 million.
Why it matters: Making more revenue shows a good change in demand and strategy.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported above $6 million.
Worry ifRevenue remains below $5.8 million.
Why it matters: Lower costs show that management values efficiency. It also helps them make more money.
Supportive ifTotal costs and expenses should drop more, ideally below $6 million.
Worry ifCosts increase or stabilize above $6.9 million.
Why it matters: Finishing the buyback program shows strong use of funds and trust in the stock.
Supportive ifTotal shares bought back should reach $10 million or close by November.
Worry ifThe program stops or has very little funding.