Jabil (JBL)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$236.36-8.59%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JBL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
JBL — CEO transition
Dated 2026-01-28
Director — Thomas T. Edman, Raejeanne Skillern: Two new directors were appointed to the Board of Directors.
Why it matters: Jabil set Q1 revenue at $10.6 billion to $11.4 billion. A miss would weaken its strong FY2027 growth outlook.
Worry ifQ1 FY2027 revenue is below $10.6 billion.
Less concerning ifQ1 FY2027 revenue is at or above $10.6 billion.
Why it matters: This report is the first test of Jabil's Q1 FY2027 outlook. Check revenue against $10.6 billion and core EPS against $3.80.
Watch forQ1 revenue is at least $10.6 billion and core EPS is at least $3.80.
Also watch forQ1 revenue is below $10.6 billion or core EPS is below $3.80.
Why it matters: Jabil tied its outlook to growth across AI and other markets. Meeting the $44.5 billion target would support that broad growth story.
Supportive ifFY2027 revenue is at or above $44.5 billion.
Worry ifJabil cuts its FY2027 revenue outlook below $44.5 billion.
Why it matters: Jabil reported more than $1.5 billion in FY2026 and set a higher FY2027 cash goal. A shortfall would break that step-up.
Worry ifFY2027 adjusted free cash flow is below $1.6 billion.
Less concerning ifFY2027 adjusted free cash flow is at or above $1.6 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$191 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $528 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,295 loss on $10,000 · 33.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Jabil's outlook calls for margin growth as revenue rises. A miss would challenge its plan to grow profit along with sales.
Worry ifFY2027 core operating margin is below 6.1%.
Less concerning ifFY2027 core operating margin is at or above 6.1%.