Jabil (JBL)
NYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$320.97-5.10%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $320.97. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $321 JBL trades at 27× p/e, below its 51× p/e peer median. Our $348 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $254–$482. Not investment advice.
$254.00 – $482.00 (median $430.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-06-18
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 97% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 4.1 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $10.10/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $430.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $369.10 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $375.22 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $57.98 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $333.69 | 50.9 | 6.55 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $552.83 | 25.4 | 22.53 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $416.27 | 33.7 | 12.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $513.83 | 50.9 | 10.09 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $2324.43 | 7.4 | 315.40 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $248.25 | 24.6 | 10.09 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $53.50 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $237.33 | 23.5 | 10.09 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $619.39 | 50.9 | 12.16 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $799.03 | 50.9 | 15.68 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $633.09 | 33.7 | 18.76 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $745.17 | 50.9 | 14.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $2569.19 | 7.4 | 348.61 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $360.02 | 24.6 | 14.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $344.18 | 23.5 | 14.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1430.14 | 50.9 | 28.07 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $837.26 | 33.7 | 24.82 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $647.03 | 50.9 | 12.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $2230.82 | 7.4 | 302.70 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $312.60 | 24.6 | 12.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $298.85 | 23.5 | 12.70 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.