James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR)
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.16-0.72%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JRVR
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.16 JRVR trades at 0.4× p/b, below its 1.7× p/b peer median. Our $12 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| graham number | 12M | $15.34 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $19.13 | 1.7 | 11.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $9.56 | 11.1 | 0.86 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $19.87 | 1.4 | 13.91 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $11.00 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $4.68 | 5.0 | 0.94 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $11.64 | 14.0 | 0.83 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $17.07 | 1.7 | 9.93 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $9.68 | 11.1 | 0.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $15.92 | 1.4 | 11.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $4.33 | 5.0 | 0.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $15.83 | 1.7 | 9.21 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $8.35 | 11.1 | 0.75 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $13.73 | 1.4 | 9.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $3.73 | 5.0 | 0.75 | Analyst | medium |