KARDIGAN INC (KARD)
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.86-10.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KARD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -61.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 66 industry peers
KARD — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-11
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 11, 2026, Kardigan, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2. of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the Exhibits shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities…
Why it matters: The sector note says growth is slowing and easing. A move back toward past highs would show that trend has changed.
Supportive ifThe sector note shows revenue growth rising from near 9% back toward its recent highs.
Worry ifThe sector note shows revenue growth below 9% or continuing to slow.
Why it matters: The last listed event was an earnings miss. The next report can show whether results improved.
Watch forThe November 10 report shows better results than the June 30 quarter and no new earnings miss.
Also watch forThe November 10 report shows another earnings miss or weaker results than the June 30 quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$261 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $826 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,124 loss on $10,000 · 51.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.