Kforce, Inc. (KFRC)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$58.29+0.92%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KFRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 26.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KFRC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-02
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information contained in this Form 8-K and in the accompanying exhibit shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Kforce Inc., whether made bef…
Why it matters: Technology Flex is Kforce's largest business. Faster growth would extend its recent rebound.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports Technology Flex revenue growth above 7.8% year over year.
Worry ifA later quarter reports Technology Flex revenue growth at 0% or below year over year.
Why it matters: Kforce's Q3 revenue beat the high end of guidance and grew 7.5% year over year. Another beat would extend that growth run.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is above $360 million, the top of guidance.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $352 million, the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Flex margin rose 50 basis points year over year in Q3. Keeping that gain would support stronger earnings from staffing work.
Supportive ifQ4 Flex gross margin is above 26.6%, the top of guidance.
Worry ifQ4 Flex gross margin is below 26.4%, the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Q3 operating margin included a 60-basis-point gain from life insurance policies. Q4 results can show how much margin holds without it.
Worry ifQ4 operating margin is below 4.5%, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ4 operating margin reaches 4.9% or more, the top of guidance. No similar one-time gain occurs.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $396 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,928 loss on $10,000 · 29.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.