Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KIM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $24, KIM's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 64× p/ffo (5.1× the 12× p/ffo peer median). At a normal multiple the price implies ~1% near-term growth vs our ~4% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $23 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts target $25–$29. Note: our $23 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($25–$29). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $28.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $12.68 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $13.73 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $5.97 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$25.00 – $29.00 (median $28.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-08-11
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2020-Q1, 2020-Q2, 2020-Q3, 2020-Q4
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $19.14 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $25.25 | 21.4 | 1.18 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $4.62 | 12.5 | 0.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $23.60 | 7.3 | 3.25 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $14.37 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $33.05 | 31.5 | 1.05 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $13.20 | 12.5 | 1.06 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $20.20 | 21.4 | 0.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $26.42 | 7.3 | 3.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $22.68 | 31.5 | 0.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $17.40 | 21.4 | 0.81 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $28.44 | 7.3 | 3.92 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $17.65 | 31.5 | 0.56 | Analyst | high |