NAUTICUS ROBOTICS INC (KITT)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.65-6.29%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KITT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -74.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 56 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KITT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-13
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Third Amendment to the Term Loan Agreement As previously disclosed by the Company in its filings with the SEC, pursuant to the terms of the Senior Secured Term Loan Agreement, dated as of September 18, 2023 (as amended, restated, amended and restated, restructured, supplemented, waived and/or otherwise modified from time to time, the “Term Loan Agreement”), by and among the Company, as borrower, the lenders from time to time party thereto (the “Lende…
Why it matters: The new CRO's strategies could drive revenue growth and market expansion efforts.
Watch forThere is strong sales growth or new contracts with the new CRO.
Also watch forSales numbers are flat or down even with the new CRO.
Why it matters: Cutting debt will help make finances stronger. It will also increase investor trust.
Supportive ifLook for more news on debt reduction or equity conversion like the $4 million deal.
Worry ifNo new debt reduction news or new debt that raises liabilities.
Why it matters: New products could increase revenue. They would also show Nauticus' tech is improving.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new product launch in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new products have been announced. This may mean delays in selling.
Why it matters: Cutting debt helps Nauticus' finances. It also helps meet Nasdaq rules.
Supportive ifNauticus reports a further reduction of at least $2 million in debt in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new debt cuts are reported. This may mean financial problems ahead.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$432 on $10,000 · ±4.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,453 loss on $10,000 · 14.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,816 loss on $10,000 · 98.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows that people are buying Nauticus' products and services.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was over $800,000, showing strong demand for Nauticus' products.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was under $800,000, showing less interest in the market.
Why it matters: Brian Allen's plans could greatly affect Nauticus' revenue growth and market position.
Watch forRevenue growth trends improved after Brian Allen's actions in the EMEA region.
Also watch forRevenue trends are flat or falling despite new leadership efforts.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows improved cost control and efficiency. This is key for lasting success.
Supportive ifOperating income is improving. It is getting closer to breakeven from -$6 million.
Worry ifOperating income gets worse or stays negative. This shows ongoing financial issues.
Why it matters: As the new Chief Revenue Officer, his strategies could drive significant sales growth. His past success in scaling revenue is a key factor.
Supportive ifRevenue growth speeds up a lot. This shows good results from Brian Allen's leadership.
Worry ifRevenue growth stops or drops. This shows poor strategies or market problems.
Why it matters: Cutting debt helps financial stability and supports future growth plans.
Supportive ifThey announced more debt conversions or repayments. This helps the balance sheet.
Worry ifNo new debt reduction actions happened. This shows possible financial problems.
Why it matters: More debt reduction would make finances stronger. It would also boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifNews about more debt reduction steps or agreements is expected.
Worry ifNo announcements of further debt reduction or new debt increases.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Nauticus can sustain its revenue growth trajectory.
Watch forQ2 revenue shows a tripling trend compared to Q1, indicating strong growth.
Also watch forQ2 revenue is flat or declines compared to Q1, suggesting growth challenges.
Why it matters: A decrease in net income loss shows progress in financial stability. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifNet income loss decreases below $9.27M in Q2.
Worry ifNet income loss is $9.27M or more. This shows ongoing financial struggles.
Why it matters: This would show Nauticus is on track to meet its goal of scaling revenue significantly.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $1 million. This shows strong market demand and good sales.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was under $885,947. This shows problems in growing operations.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal would help Nauticus's finances. It would make them more stable.
Supportive ifThe exchange agreement is fully done. Debt has also been lowered.
Worry ifNot finishing the deal or more debt means financial problems.
Why it matters: Brian Allen's plan could lead to big revenue growth and more market reach.
Supportive ifThere is a public announcement about plans or partnerships to grow in the EMEA market.
Worry ifNo news or clear plans from the new CRO shows possible risks in execution.