NAUTICUS ROBOTICS INC (KITT)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.42-2.74%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KITT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -33.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
KITT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Sixth Amendment to the Term Loan Agreement As previously disclosed by the Company in its filings with the SEC, pursuant to the terms of the Senior Secured Term Loan Agreement, dated as of September 18, 2023 (as amended, restated, amended and restated, restructured, supplemented, waived and/or otherwise modified from time to time, the “Term Loan Agreement”), by and among the Company, as borrower, the lenders from time to time party thereto (the “Lende…
Why it matters: Nauticus amended its term loan several times, and an October 1 filing noted a new financial obligation. Easier terms could ease cash pressure; tighter terms could add strain.
Watch forA new loan filing extends due dates or lowers payments without adding a new obligation.
Also watch forA new loan filing adds debt, raises required payments, or shortens due dates.
Why it matters: The September LOI is not binding. A signed deal could fund Nauticus' commercial plans, but its terms may dilute shareholders.
Watch forNauticus files or announces a signed investment deal. It states the amount and closing terms.
Also watch forNauticus says the LOI ended, or reports no signed deal after more updates.
Why it matters: The split aimed to meet Nasdaq's minimum bid price rule. A new compliance notice would show that the split did not settle the issue.
Worry ifNasdaq or Nauticus reports that KITT regained or kept compliance with the minimum bid price rule.
Less concerning ifNasdaq sends a new minimum bid price notice after the September 25 post-split trading start.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue rose from $159,575 in Q1, but the company remains loss-making. Another rise would show more sales progress.
Supportive ifThe November 13 earnings release reports Q3 revenue above $885,947.
Worry ifThe November 13 earnings release reports Q3 revenue at or below $159,575.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$392 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,547 loss on $10,000 · 15.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,833 loss on $10,000 · 98.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The sector read points to slower growth and a headwind. Faster company sales would offer a clear sign of strength against that backdrop.
Supportive ifKITT reports higher revenue year over year in its next earnings release.
Worry ifKITT reports lower revenue year over year in its next earnings release.