Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc (KLXE)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.96-5.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for KLXE yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitigate seasonality and winter storm effects on operations | The company expects to overcome winter storm impacts. | Improving | Seasonal or storm impacts persist beyond Q2 2026 | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 5, 2026Last status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making recovery story in an energy-services sector with a favorable backdrop. The thesis is on watch: recent results improved, but performance remains weak versus the industry cohort and management execution has been volatile.
KLXE screens cheap versus peers, but the valuation model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative. The current setup is described as justified rather than broadly fragile, though sector turbulence remains a risk.
Near term, revenue rose from the first to the second quarter of 2026, and operating results moved from a loss to income; management guided to higher third-quarter revenue. The completed financing reduced the 2030 Notes, but later debt balances are not available, while evidence of realized Wolf Pack synergies is limited. A next-call guidance cut is a meaningful risk, and the near-term miss probability is elevated.
The multi-year thesis hinges on continued revenue and operating improvement, measurable debt reduction, and delivery against the stated annual synergy goal. Near term, stronger results and guidance from sector bellwethers could sustain the industry tailwind, while misses or lower guidance from those companies could weaken it.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, KLXE remains a watch-stage recovery thesis: there is evidence of recent operating progress, but weak relative performance, execution uncertainty, and high risk leave the improvement unproven. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is ~$167 million. |
| Intact |
| Revenue falls below $154 million in Q2 2026 |
Revenue: $167.3M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$167 million. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 11, 2026167,300,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Complete and integrate Wolf Pack Rentals acquisition | KLX bought Wolf Pack Rentals to grow its services. | Intact | Acquisition fails to integrate or deliver benefits by 2026-Q4 | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 5, 2026Last status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-1.91 → $-0.19 · observed estimates
$0.72B → $0.72B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-1.91 | $720,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-1.91 | $720,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.20 | $722,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-05 | $-0.19 | $721,100,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.