Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$44.21+1.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KRUS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 30 industry peers
KRUS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-04-07
Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer — Jeffrey J. Uttz: Mr. Uttz resigned to accept a new position within the restaurant industry.
Why it matters: Achieving this revenue target would confirm the company's growth strategy is on track.
Supportive ifTotal annual revenue was between $333 million and $335 million.
Worry ifTotal annual revenue was below $330 million.
Why it matters: This would show strong growth and support the goal of $330M-$335M in annual revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $85 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $85 million.
Why it matters: Growth in comparable sales signals recovery in customer traffic and demand. This is key for future revenue.
Supportive ifComparable restaurant sales increase year over year by more than 0.4%.
Worry ifRestaurant sales are down year over year by more than -0.4%.
Why it matters: Keeping G&A costs low helps increase profits and reach financial goals.
Worry ifG&A expenses as a percentage of sales drop to 12% or lower.
Less concerning ifG&A expenses as a percentage of sales rise above 12%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$203 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $564 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,860 loss on $10,000 · 48.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better sales would show the company is bouncing back from recent drops in traffic.
Supportive ifComparable restaurant sales increase year over year by more than 0.4%.
Worry ifRestaurant sales keep going down each year.
Why it matters: A larger drop means worse customer traffic and more pricing pressure.
Worry ifRestaurant sales drop more than 1% compared to Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifRestaurant sales rise or drop less than 1% compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows Kura Sushi is on track to meet growth goals.
Supportive ifManagement says annual revenue will be between $330M and $335M.
Worry ifManagement cuts annual revenue guidance to under $330M.
Why it matters: A rise above this level shows better cost control and profit.
Supportive ifRestaurant profit margin is over 18.5% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifRestaurant profit margin stays under 18% in Q3 2026.