Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$37.07-1.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KRUS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 144.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 121.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KRUS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2026, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing earnings and other financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year ended August 31, 2026, and announcing that its management would review these results in a conference call at 5:00 p.m. (EDT) on November 5, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished with
Why it matters: Kura plans 16 new restaurants and annual unit growth above 20%. Its latest report listed seven openings in Q3 and three more after quarter-end.
Supportive ifThe FY2026 report confirms 16 new restaurant openings and unit growth above 20%.
Worry ifThe FY2026 report confirms fewer than 16 openings or unit growth at or below 20%.
Why it matters: Comparable sales slipped 0.4% in Q3 after rising 8.6% in Q2. Q3 traffic fell 5.1%, while price and mix rose 4.7%.
Watch forThe next results show comparable sales growth above 0%, with traffic no longer down year over year.
Also watch forThe next results show comparable sales below 0% and traffic down year over year again.
Why it matters: Kura cut its sales range from $333M-$335M to $330.5M-$331.5M. Results will show whether it meets the newer target.
Watch forThe FY2026 results report sales between $330.5M and $331.5M.
Also watch forThe FY2026 results report sales below $330.5M.
Why it matters: Tariffs lifted food and drink costs to 30.2% of sales in Q3, from 28.3% a year earlier. Lower costs could help margins.
Watch forFood and drink costs fall below 30.2% of sales in the next results.
Also watch forFood and drink costs stay at or above 30.2% of sales, with tariffs still cited as a cause.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $588 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,108 loss on $10,000 · 61.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.