Key Tronic Corp (KTCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.30-10.96%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KTCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -13.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KTCC — officer change
Dated 2026-08-26
The filing discloses the establishment of performance goals and the granting of equity awards under an incentive compensation plan, which is a routine administrative matter rather than a change in management.
Why it matters: About $10 million of shipments were delayed by tight credit. More delays could block sales despite customer demand.
Worry ifA later release reports more shipments delayed due to financing limits. Or it reports delayed shipments above $10 million.
Less concerning ifA later release says the prior $10 million in delayed shipments shipped, with no new financing delays.
Why it matters: These awards could lift sales in data center, construction, and industrial power markets. The release gives no ramp schedule.
Supportive ifA later release reports sales from the awarded programs. It also reports rising sales in those markets.
Worry ifA later release says the awarded programs were delayed or canceled. Or production has not begun in coming quarters.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose to 7.8% in the latest quarter. Keeping it above that level would show cost gains are lasting.
Supportive ifGross margin stays above 7.8% in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 7.8% in the next reported quarter.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $444 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,948 loss on $10,000 · 69.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.