Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$152.54-3.03%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KWR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-22
Chief Accounting Officer — Neil Daniels: The filing announces the external hire of a new Chief Accounting Officer, noting that the previous holder of the title is retaining his CFO role, which indicates a role reassignment rather than a loss of senior leadership.
Why it matters: Higher input costs already weighed on margins in Asia/Pacific. A wider cost gap could weaken earnings.
Worry ifQ4 gross margin falls below Q3. The company says raw material costs rose faster than prices recovered.
Less concerning ifQ4 gross margin holds at or above Q3, with price actions offsetting raw material costs.
Why it matters: China demand softened in Q3, and management sees Asia activity staying soft in Q4. A volume drop would add to that strain.
Worry ifAsia/Pacific sales volume falls year over year in Q4, after rising 5% in Q3.
Less concerning ifAsia/Pacific sales volume stays flat or grows year over year in Q4.
Why it matters: Cash from operations fell to $47.6 million for the first nine months, from $89.9 million a year earlier. Better cash flow would ease pressure from debt.
Watch forFull-year operating cash flow is at least $89.9 million, matching the prior year's nine-month figure.
Also watch forFull-year operating cash flow stays below $47.6 million, the first nine months of 2026 total.
Why it matters: The savings plan aims to cut annual costs by 2028. A stated run rate would show progress beyond stronger earnings alone.
Supportive ifA company update states that annual savings run rate reaches at least $10 million by year-end 2026.
Worry ifA company update puts the year-end 2026 savings run rate below $10 million, or delays the target.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$112 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $376 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,646 loss on $10,000 · 36.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.