Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$161.50+0.73%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
KWR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-07-07
Vice President, Corporate Controller and Principal Accounting Officer — Steven Dassing: Mr. Dassing resigned to pursue another career opportunity.
Why it matters: Inflation may hurt margins. It could lower overall profits.
Worry ifManagement says that rising costs for materials hurt profits in Q2.
Less concerning ifManagement reports that raw material costs did not greatly affect Q2.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows Quaker Chemical is managing its operations well. This could support future investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations remains positive in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations turns negative in Q2.
Why it matters: Better credit terms help with finances. This helps with growth and plans.
Supportive ifNews of more credit options or new debt extensions.
Worry ifNo improvements or a downgrade in credit terms.
Why it matters: Reaching a $10 million run rate by year-end shows good cost management.
Supportive ifThe company reports achieving a $10 million run rate in cost savings by year-end.
Worry ifThe company fails to report significant progress on the cost savings program.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect how a company works and performs. Watching this can help understand its future.
Watch forNew chair outlines a clear strategy that aligns with revenue growth.
Also watch forIf the new chair does not share a clear plan, it can create doubt.
Why it matters: Stable gross margins mean better cost control. This matters when raw material prices go up.
Supportive ifGross margin percentage stabilizes in the range of 35.5% in Q3.
Worry ifGross margin percentage falls below 34% in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth shows success in getting new business and market share.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth is over 10% from last year. This shows strong new business wins.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth is under 5% from last year. This shows a slowdown in business wins.
Why it matters: Updates on cost savings will show how well the company is improving efficiency and cash flow.
Watch forManagement says it will save $10 million each year by the end of 2026.
Also watch forNo updates or delays in the cost savings program are reported.
Why it matters: Lower sales growth means weaker demand. This could hurt revenue goals.
Worry ifQ2 organic sales volume growth reported below 3% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 organic sales volume growth reported at or above 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Success in Asia/Pacific can help overall revenue growth. It may also balance weak markets.
Supportive ifNew business wins in Asia/Pacific exceed 10% growth year over year.
Worry ifNew business wins in Asia/Pacific fall below 4% growth year over year.
Why it matters: New acquisitions could drive growth and market share. This is a key part of the company’s strategy.
Supportive ifThere may be news about a strategic acquisition that grows market reach or product range.
Worry ifThere will be no news about acquisitions or partnerships in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better margins help management make more money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin increases compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifGross profit margin decreases compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: The sector is in decline. Positive revenue growth would signal a potential recovery for Quaker Chemical.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth turns positive year over year, exceeding -1%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: This report will provide insights into revenue growth, margins, and overall performance. It will clarify the impact of recent market conditions.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth of over 8% compared to last year.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth of less than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: The materials sector is in a declining phase. A shift to positive revenue growth could indicate a broader recovery.
Watch forSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for three years.
Also watch forSector revenue growth is still negative for another quarter.
Why it matters: Rising raw material costs could hurt profits. This will test how well the company controls costs.
Worry ifRaw material costs increase by more than 5% compared to Q1 2026.
Less concerning ifRaw material costs remain stable or decrease compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows strong demand. It also means new business wins are working.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is over 10% from last year. This shows strong business performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 8% from last year. This suggests demand is weakening.
Why it matters: Stable margins show good cost management. This is important during times of rising material costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is around 35% in Q3. This shows good cost management.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 33%. This means costs are putting pressure on margins.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows improved liquidity and efficiency. This helps support growth plans.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is over $35 million in Q3. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is below $25 million in Q3. This suggests operational issues.
Why it matters: Progress in this program could save costs and improve operations. This affects future profits.
Watch forThey announced $10 million in annual savings from the change program.
Also watch forNo updates or delays in the change program. This may show problems with execution.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$147 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $376 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,646 loss on $10,000 · 36.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.