Ladder Capital Corp. (LADR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.83+0.10%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LADR
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.83 LADR trades at 12× p/e, in line with its 9.7× p/e peer median — but our blended $8.32 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: this sector is better valued on book value or cash flow than the earnings/sales multiple shown here. The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $11 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcff | 12M | $13.27 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $14.76 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $6.58 | 8.1 | 0.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $6.79 | 9.7 | 0.70 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $4.12 |
| 1.8 |
| 2.33 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $6.25 | 7.4 | 0.85 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $11.11 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $8.31 | 9.7 | 0.85 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $5.05 | 8.1 | 0.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $3.11 | 1.8 | 1.76 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $6.98 | 7.4 | 0.95 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $4.23 | 8.1 | 0.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $2.58 | 1.8 | 1.46 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $5.79 | 7.4 | 0.79 | Analyst | medium |